Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 72.28%. A draw had a probability of 16.95% and a win for Glenafton Athletic had a probability of 10.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ayr United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.37%) , while for a Glenafton Athletic win it was 0-1 (3.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.