Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 44.58%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 29.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 0-1 (8.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.