Scottish Championship Gameweek 33
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
Stark's Park

Raith Rovers vs Greenock Morton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Raith Rovers

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Mar 27, 2026 7.45pm
Raith Rovers 3 - 0 Ayr
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Jack Hamilton

Greenock Morton

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Apr 4, 2026 3.00pm
Dunfermline 3 - 1 Morton
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Michael Garrity

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 58.31%. A draw has a probability of 23.02% and a win for Greenock Morton has a probability of 18.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.28%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.67%) , while for a Greenock Morton win it is 0-1 (5.19%).

Result

Raith Rovers 58.31%
Draw 23.02%
Greenock Morton 18.67%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.75% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.02%
Under 1.5 21.98%
Over 2.5 55.17%
Under 2.5 44.83%
Over 3.5 32.43% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 67.57% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 19.63% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 80.37% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Raith Rovers 41.01%
Draw 40.36%
Greenock Morton 18.63%

Team To Score First

Raith Rovers 60.79%
No Goal 5.99%
Greenock Morton 33.22%

Corners

Over 8 56.34% (-0.11)
Equal 8 11.76%
Under 8 31.91% (+0.11)
Over 9 44.5% (-0.11)
Equal 9 11.84% (-0.01)
Under 9 43.66% (+0.11)
Over 10.5 33.58% (-0.08)
Under 10.5 66.42% (+0.08)

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 1.5 55.37% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 44.63% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 28.87% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 71.13% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 12.28% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 87.72% (-0.02)

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 0.5 55.17% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 44.83% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 22.97%
Under 1.5 77.03%
Over 2.5 7.12% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 92.88% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.84% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.16% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Raith Rovers 58.32%
Draw 23.02%
Greenock Morton 18.68%
Raith Rovers
1-0 @ 10.82% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 10.28% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.63%
3-0 @ 6.33% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.06% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.12% (+0.02)
Other @ 12.08% (+0.02)
Total : 58.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.67% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.99%
2-2 @ 5.08% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.02%
Greenock Morton
0-1 @ 5.19% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 5.11% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.54% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.67% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.51%
0-3 @ 1.02% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.64% (+0.02)
Total : 18.68%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Cappielow Park
  • Cameron MacPherson 7' yellowcard
  • Nathan Shaw 77' yellowcard
  • Ali Crawford 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ross Matthews 70'
  • yellowcard Andy Winter 76'
  • yellowcard Kai Montagu 76'
Scottish Championship
Nov 1, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship
Sep 6, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship Gameweek 35
Apr 26, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stark's Park
  • Josh Mullin 39' goal
  • James Gullan 60' yellowcard
  • goal Grant Gillespie 28'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 21
Mar 25, 2025 7.45pm
3
3
HT : 1 2
FT Cappielow Park
  • Nathan Shaw 31' goal
  • Cameron Blues 63' goal
  • Cameron Ballantyne 66' yellowcard
  • Tomi Adeloye 75' goal
  • Morgan Boyes 88' yellowcard
  • Jordan Davies 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Jordan Davies 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal James Gullan 11'
  • goal James Gullan 20'
  • yellowcard Lewis Vaughan 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Scott Brown 66'
  • goal Aidan Connolly 90'
  • yellowcard Jordan Doherty 90'+3'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 14
Nov 16, 2024 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT Stark's Park
  • Zak Delaney 59' goal
  • Scott Brown 63' yellowcard
  • Dylan Easton 81' goal
  • goal Filip Stuparevic 6'
  • goal Filip Stuparevic 25'
  • yellowcard Cameron Blues 38'
  • yellowcard Ryan Mullen 56'
  • yellowcard Jack Baird 88'
  • goal Michael Garrity 90'+1'