Scottish Challenge Cup
Apr 5, 2026 4.10pm
Stark's Park

Raith Rovers vs Inverness Caledonian Thistle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Raith Rovers

All competitions

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Raith Rovers has a probability of 33.59% and a draw has a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win is 1-0 (9.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.21%).

Result

Raith Rovers 33.59% (+0.02)
Draw 26.8% (-0.01)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 39.56% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.6%

Goals

Over 1.5 72.32%
Under 1.5 27.68%
Over 2.5 47.97%
Under 2.5 52.03%
Over 3.5 26.39%
Under 3.5 73.61%
Over 4.5 14.65%
Under 4.5 85.35%

First Half Winner

Raith Rovers 27.2%
Draw 42.7%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 30.1%

Team To Score First

Raith Rovers 45.68% (+0.01)
No Goal 8.14%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 46.18% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 45.81% (+0.09)
Equal 8 11.63% (+0.02)
Under 8 42.56% (-0.09)
Over 9 35.01% (+0.08)
Equal 9 10.8% (+0.03)
Under 9 54.19% (-0.09)
Over 10.5 25.76% (+0.07)
Under 10.5 74.24% (-0.07)

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 1.5 33.09%
Under 1.5 66.91%
Over 2.5 12.91%
Under 2.5 87.09%
Over 3.5 4.03%
Under 3.5 95.97%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5 70.94%
Under 0.5 29.06%
Over 1.5 37.8%
Under 1.5 62.2%
Over 2.5 15.35%
Under 2.5 84.65%
Over 3.5 5.49%
Under 3.5 94.51%

Score analysis

Raith Rovers 33.58%
Draw 26.8%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 39.56%
Raith Rovers
1-0 @ 9.09%
2-1 @ 7.5%
2-0 @ 5.38%
3-1 @ 3.04%
3-0 @ 2.61%
3-2 @ 2.18%
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 33.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.21%
0-0 @ 8.14%
2-2 @ 5.15%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 26.8%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle
0-1 @ 10.39%
1-2 @ 8.35%
0-2 @ 6.77%
1-3 @ 3.54%
0-3 @ 3.12%
2-3 @ 2.15%
Other @ 5.24%
Total : 39.56%

Head to Head

Scottish League Cup
Jul 26, 2025 3.00pm
5
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship Gameweek 34
Apr 19, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
  • yellowcard Scott Brown 45'+1'
  • goal Lewis Vaughan 49'
  • yellowcard Scott Brown 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Kevin Dabrowski 90'+2'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 22
Jan 27, 2024 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 3
FT Stark's Park
  • Jack Hamilton 25' goal
  • Lewis Vaughan 52' goal
  • goal Alex Samuel 31'
  • goal Alex Samuel 36'
  • goal Alex Samuel 40'
  • yellowcard Mark Ridgers 87'
  • yellowcard Nathan Shaw 90'+4'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 14
Dec 2, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
  • Daniel Devine 34' yellowcard
  • Daniel Devine 34' yellowcard
  • Billy Mckay 61' goal
  • Charlie Gilmour 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dylan Corr 75'
  • goal Lewis Vaughan 86'
  • goal James Gullan 90'+4'
  • yellowcard James Gullan 90'+4'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 5
Sep 16, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stark's Park
  • Liam Dick 62' yellowcard
  • James Gullan 87' goal
  • Keith Watson 90' yellowcard
  • Keith Watson 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Charlie Gilmour 8'
  • yellowcard Daniel Devine 84'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 32
Apr 8, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Jay Henderson 12' goal
  • Nathan Shaw 21' goal