Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 49.68%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 24.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.83%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%) , while for a Alloa Athletic win it was 1-0 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.