Scottish League One Gameweek 30
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Indodrill Stadium

Alloa Athletic vs Inverness Caledonian Thistle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Alloa Athletic

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 5.30pm
Montrose 5 - 4 Alloa
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Callum Burnside

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
Inverness 1 - 1 Cove Rangers
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Alfie Bavidge

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 49.43%. A draw has a probability of 25.42% and a win for Alloa Athletic has a probability of 25.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.7%) , while for a Alloa Athletic win it is 1-0 (6.63%).

Result

Alloa Athletic 25.14% (+0.95)
Draw 25.42% (+0.38)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 49.43% (-1.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.27% (+0.09)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.45% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 23.55% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 52.92% (+0.24)
Under 2.5 47.08% (-0.24)
Over 3.5 30.49% (+0.22)
Under 3.5 69.51% (-0.22)
Over 4.5 17.69% (+0.12)
Under 4.5 82.31% (-0.11)

First Half Winner

Alloa Athletic 26.33% (+0.91)
Draw 41.99% (-0.11)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 31.68% (-0.80)

Team To Score First

Alloa Athletic 41.24% (+2.47)
No Goal 6.79% (+0.03)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 51.97% (-2.49)

Corners

Over 8 49.51% (-0.83)
Equal 8 11.86% (+0.06)
Under 8 38.63% (+0.77)
Over 9 38.18% (-0.82)
Equal 9 11.33% (-0.01)
Under 9 50.49% (+0.83)
Over 10.5 28.22% (-0.73)
Under 10.5 71.78% (+0.72)

Alloa Athletic Goals

Over 1.5 28.58% (+1.12)
Under 1.5 71.42% (-1.13)
Over 2.5 9.92% (+0.75)
Under 2.5 90.08% (-0.75)
Over 3.5 3.27% (+0.42)
Under 3.5 96.73% (-0.43)

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5 78.44% (-0.74)
Under 0.5 21.56% (+0.74)
Over 1.5 47.91% (-0.75)
Under 1.5 52.09% (+0.75)
Over 2.5 22.75% (-0.54)
Under 2.5 77.25% (+0.54)
Over 3.5 8.7% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 91.3% (+0.24)

Score analysis

Alloa Athletic 25.16%
Draw 25.43%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 49.44%
Alloa Athletic
1-0 @ 6.63% (+0.12)
2-1 @ 6.4% (+0.12)
2-0 @ 3.63% (+0.13)
3-1 @ 2.27% (+0.11)
3-2 @ 1.69% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.52% (+0.16)
Other @ 3.02% (+0.36)
Total : 25.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.7% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 6.79% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.52% (+0.20)
3-3 @ 1.17% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.25% (+0.08)
Total : 25.43%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle
0-1 @ 10.16% (-0.24)
1-2 @ 9.77% (-0.16)
0-2 @ 8.18% (-0.30)
1-3 @ 5.02% (-0.17)
0-3 @ 4.75% (-0.12)
2-3 @ 3.11% (-0.08)
Other @ 8.45% (-0.32)
Total : 49.44%

Head to Head

Scottish League One
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
  • Chanka Zimba 52' goal
  • Jordan Alonge 69' goal
  • Chanka Zimba 72' goal
  • Paul Allan 76' yellowcard
  • 77' yellowcard
  • George McCartney 84' yellowcard
  • David Wotherspoon 84' yellowcard
  • Joe Chalmers 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Lewis Stewart 23'
  • yellowcard Steven Hetherington 65'
  • yellowcard Conor Sammon 65'
  • yellowcard 78'
  • yellowcard Andrew Clarke 78'
Scottish League One
Nov 15, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
LIVE
  • Charlie Dewar 35' yellowcard
  • Charlie Dewar 36' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Devine 27'
  • yellowcard Adam Mackinnon 38'
  • goal Luis Longstaff 45'+1'
Scottish League One
Aug 30, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League One Gameweek 30
Mar 22, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 3 0
FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
  • Alfie Stewart 8' goal
  • Alfie Stewart 8' goal
  • Alfie Stewart 8' goal
  • Remi Savage 41' yellowcard
  • Remi Savage 41' yellowcard
  • Remi Savage 88' redcard
  • yellowcard Kurtis Roberts 36'
  • yellowcard Kurtis Roberts 36'
  • goal Scott Taggart 52'
  • goal Scott Taggart 52'
  • yellowcard Magnus Mackenzie 54'
  • yellowcard Magnus Mackenzie 54'
  • yellowcard Charlie Dewar 90'+4'
Scottish League One Gameweek 22
Jan 25, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Indodrill Stadium
  • Miko Virtanen 7' yellowcard
  • Cameron O'Donnel 46' goal
  • Kane Thomson 47' yellowcard
  • Cameron O'Donnel 57' yellowcard
  • Stefan Scougall 70' yellowcard
  • Morgyn Neill 90' yellowcard
  • goal Keith Bray 21'
  • yellowcard Daniel Devine 33'
  • yellowcard Billy Mckay 73'
  • yellowcard Keith Bray 75'
  • yellowcard James Nolan 77'
  • goal Alfie Stewart 79'
Scottish League One Gameweek 14
Nov 16, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
  • Charlie Gilmour 55' yellowcard
  • Charlie Gilmour 70' goal
  • Billy Mckay 81' yellowcard
  • James Nolan 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Calum Waters 42'
  • yellowcard Stefan Scougall 44'