Scottish League One Gameweek 28
Alloa
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Indodrill Stadium
Kelty Hearts
  • Calum Adamson 61' goal
  • Callum Burnside 61' goal
  • Callum Burnside 66' goal
  • Calum Gallagher 77' yellowcard
  • Andrew Clarke 78' yellowcard
  • Calum Gallagher 78' yellowcard
  • Steven Hetherington 83' yellowcard
  • Calum Waters 88' yellowcard
  • goal Alasdair Davidson 27'
  • yellowcard Thomas Murray 27'
  • yellowcard Thomas Murray 28'
  • yellowcard Cameron Cooper 68'
  • yellowcard Ross Cunningham 68'
  • yellowcard Aaron Arnott 80'
  • yellowcard Arran Pettifer 80'

Alloa Athletic vs Kelty Hearts - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Alloa Athletic

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
East Fife 0 - 2 Alloa
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Callum Burnside

Kelty Hearts

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Mar 3, 2026 7.45pm
Montrose 1 - 1 Kelty Hearts
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Ricco Diack

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 60.54%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 17.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%) , while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 0-1 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result

Alloa Athletic 60.54% ▼ (-1.75)
Draw 22% ▲ (+0.84)
Kelty Hearts 17.46% ▲ (+0.91)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.94% ▼ (-0.50)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.18% ▼ (-0.45)
Under 1.5 19.82% ▲ (+0.45)
Over 2.5 58.42% ▼ (-0.62)
Under 2.5 41.58% ▲ (+0.62)
Over 3.5 37.19% ▼ (-0.90)
Under 3.5 62.81% ▲ (+0.90)
Over 4.5 23.85% ▼ (-0.90)
Under 4.5 76.15% ▲ (+0.91)

First Half Winner

Alloa Athletic 43.06% ▼ (-0.81)
Draw 39.32% ▲ (+0.51)
Kelty Hearts 17.62% ▲ (+0.32)

Team To Score First

Alloa Athletic 64.84% ▼ (-0.08)
No Goal 5.31% ▲ (+0.27)
Kelty Hearts 29.85% ▼ (-0.19)

Corners

Over 8 46.1% ▼ (-0.90)
Equal 8 11.79% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 8 42.11% ▲ (+0.98)
Over 9 35.13% ▼ (-0.73)
Equal 9 10.97% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 9 53.9% ▲ (+0.90)
Over 10.5 25.72% ▼ (-0.55)
Under 10.5 74.28% ▲ (+0.55)

Alloa Athletic Goals

Over 1.5 59.22% ▼ (-1.40)
Under 1.5 40.78% ▲ (+1.40)
Over 2.5 32.88% ▼ (-1.48)
Under 2.5 67.12% ▲ (+1.49)
Over 3.5 15.43% ▼ (-1.02)
Under 3.5 84.57% ▲ (+1.01)

Kelty Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 53.71% ▲ (+1.19)
Under 0.5 46.29% ▼ (-1.19)
Over 1.5 23.04% ▲ (+0.90)
Under 1.5 76.96% ▼ (-0.91)
Over 2.5 7.95% ▲ (+0.58)
Under 2.5 92.05% ▼ (-0.58)
Over 3.5 2.32% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 3.5 97.68% ▼ (-0.17)

Score analysis

Alloa Athletic 60.53%
Draw 22%
Kelty Hearts 17.47%
Alloa Athletic
1-0 @ 9.97% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.78% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 9.63% ▼ (-0.15)
3-1 @ 6.46% ▼ (-0.22)
3-0 @ 6.35% ▼ (-0.21)
3-2 @ 3.31% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 15.03% ▼ (-1.10)
Total : 60.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.89% ▲ (+0.28)
0-0 @ 5.31% ▲ (+0.27)
2-2 @ 5.07% ▲ (+0.13)
3-3 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 0.4% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 22%
Kelty Hearts
0-1 @ 4.54% ▲ (+0.20)
1-2 @ 4.46% ▲ (+0.26)
0-2 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 17.47%

Head to Head

Scottish League One Gameweek 20
Kelty Hearts
Jan 3, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT New Central Park
Alloa
  • James Graham 49' yellowcard
  • Aaron Arnott 74' goal
  • goal Calum Adamson 55'
  • yellowcard Andrew Clarke 74'
  • yellowcard Josh Gentles 74'
  • yellowcard Steven Buchanan 85'
Scottish League One
Alloa
Nov 1, 2025 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Kelty Hearts
Scottish League One
Kelty Hearts
Oct 7, 2025 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Alloa
Scottish League One Gameweek 36
Kelty Hearts
May 3, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT New Central Park
Alloa
  • Craig Johnston 23' goal
  • Robbie Cole 26' goal
  • Callum Flatman 56' yellowcard
  • Thomas O'Ware 61' yellowcard
  • Blaine McClure 72' yellowcard
  • goal Luke Rankin 44'
  • yellowcard Kurtis Roberts 57'
  • yellowcard Charlie Dewar 86'
  • yellowcard Cameron O'Donnel 90'
  • yellowcard Magnus Mackenzie 90'+1'
Scottish League One Gameweek 25
Alloa
Feb 15, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Indodrill Stadium
Kelty Hearts
  • Callum Flatman 12' goal
  • Steven Buchanan 34' goal
  • Cameron O'Donnel 63' yellowcard
  • Calum Waters 83' yellowcard
  • Scott Taggart 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Scott Taggart 90'+3' redcard
  • yellowcard Liam McLeish 10'
  • yellowcard Lewis Moore 30'
Scottish League One Gameweek 16
Kelty Hearts
Dec 7, 2024 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT New Central Park
Alloa
  • Thomas O'Ware 32' yellowcard
  • Craig Johnston 38' yellowcard
  • Samuel Harding 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Scott Taggart 24'
  • goal Luke Donnelly 39'
  • yellowcard Cameron O'Donnel 63'
  • yellowcard Miko Virtanen 67'
  • goal Scott Taggart 90'+5'

Form Data

East Fife 0 - 2 Alloa
Alloa 3 - 0 Hamilton
QotS 1 - 2 Alloa
Alloa 2 - 2 Cove Rangers
Inverness 3 - 1 Alloa
Alloa 4 - 1 Montrose
Montrose 1 - 1 Kelty Hearts
Kelty Hearts 0 - 0 Inverness
Cove Rangers 1 - 1 Kelty Hearts
Kelty Hearts 1 - 1 Peterhead
Dunfermline 2 - 0 Kelty Hearts
Kelty Hearts 0 - 0 Hamilton