Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Fife win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Fife win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.08%) and 2-0 (5.52%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (8.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.