Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 (8.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.