Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 36.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (5.63%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (8.78%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.