Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 50.56%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 26.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest East Fife win was 1-2 (7.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.