Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Fife win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Fife win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 1-2 (7.78%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.