Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 53.83%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for East Fife had a probability of 22.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%) , while for a East Fife win it was 1-2 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.