Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (8.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.