Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 (8.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.