Scottish League One Gameweek 28
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
Palmerston Park

Queen of the South vs Stenhousemuir - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Queen of the South

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
QotS 0 - 2 Peterhead
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Matty Douglas

Stenhousemuir

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Mar 3, 2026 8.00pm
Hamilton 0 - 1 Stenhousemuir
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Olly Whyte

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Queen of the South win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Stenhousemuir has a probability of 32.55% and a draw has a probability of 26.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win is 0-1 (8.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.12%).

Result

Queen of the South 41.38%
Draw 26.07%
Stenhousemuir 32.55%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.77% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.84% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 24.16% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 52.07% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 47.94% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 29.95% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 70.05% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 16.85% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 83.15% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Queen of the South 32.55%
Draw 42.32%
Stenhousemuir 25.13%

Team To Score First

Queen of the South 49.47%
No Goal 6.75% (-0.01)
Stenhousemuir 43.78% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 46.36% (+0.11)
Equal 8 11.99% (-0.05)
Under 8 41.65% (-0.07)
Over 9 35.19% (+0.15)
Equal 9 11.17% (-0.03)
Under 9 53.64% (-0.11)
Over 10.5 25.61% (+0.17)
Under 10.5 74.39% (-0.16)

Queen of the South Goals

Over 1.5 41.73% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 58.27% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 17.86% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 82.14% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 6.5% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 93.5% (-0.02)

Stenhousemuir Goals

Over 0.5 67.75% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 32.25% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 34.36% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 65.64% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 13.5% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 86.5% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 4.17% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.83% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Queen of the South 41.38%
Draw 26.08%
Stenhousemuir 32.56%
Queen of the South
1-0 @ 9.39%
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.68%
3-1 @ 4.2% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.23% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.63% (+0.01)
Other @ 6.22% (+0.01)
Total : 41.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.12%
0-0 @ 6.75% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.63% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.28% (+0.02)
Total : 26.08%
Stenhousemuir
0-1 @ 8.04%
1-2 @ 7.64% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.96%
1-3 @ 3.29% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.53% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.21% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.89% (+0.02)
Total : 32.56%

Head to Head

Scottish League One Gameweek 20
Jan 3, 2026 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Ochilview Park
  • Matthew Aitken 36' goal
  • Zeke Cameron 73' yellowcard
  • Michael Anderson 77' yellowcard
  • Nicky Jamieson 79' goal
  • Euan O'Reilly 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jack Stott 54'
  • yellowcard Euan Ross 70'
  • yellowcard Niall Rogerson 87'
  • yellowcard Zander MacKenzie 87'
Scottish League One
Nov 1, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League One
Aug 23, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League One Gameweek 35
Apr 26, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Palmerston Park
  • Fraser Bryden 59' goal
  • Harry Cochrane 63' goal
  • Ross Stewart 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michael Anderson 87'
  • yellowcard Blair Alston 90'+2'
Scottish League One Gameweek 24
Feb 8, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Ochilview Park
  • Blair Alston 12' goal
  • Gregor Buchanan 17' yellowcard
  • Corey O'Donnell 28' goal
  • Scott McGill 53' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brennan Dickenson 38'
  • yellowcard Liam Smith 85'
  • goal Brennan Dickenson 90'+1'
Scottish League One Gameweek 17
Dec 14, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Palmerston Park
  • Reece Lyon 12' goal
  • Adam Brooks 59' goal
  • Reece Lyon 84' yellowcard
  • Kyle Doherty 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gregor Buchanan 28'
  • yellowcard Nathaniel Wedderburn 33'
  • yellowcard Michael Anderson 55'
  • yellowcard Matt Yates 63'
  • goal Corey O'Donnell 64'
  • yellowcard Aaron Steele 83'