Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 42.31%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 (8.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.