Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest East Fife win was 0-1 (8.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.