Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 45.52%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.59%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest East Fife win was 1-2 (7.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.