Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest East Fife win was 1-0 (8.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.