Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 37.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (8.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.