Scottish League One Gameweek 31
Mar 28, 2026 3.00pm
New Douglas Park

Hamilton Academical vs Kelty Hearts - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hamilton Academical

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Cove Rangers 2 - 2 Hamilton
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Oli Shaw

Kelty Hearts

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Stenhousemuir 2 - 0 Kelty Hearts
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Ricco Diack

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 53.75%. A draw has a probability of 24.14% and a win for Kelty Hearts has a probability of 22.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.37%) , while for a Kelty Hearts win it is 0-1 (6.3%).

Result

Hamilton Academical 53.75% (+0.11)
Draw 24.14% (-0.06)
Kelty Hearts 22.11% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.9%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.65% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 24.35% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 51.88%
Under 2.5 48.12%
Over 3.5 30.13% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 69.87% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 17.79% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 82.21% (-0.06)

First Half Winner

Hamilton Academical 37.89%
Draw 41.17%
Kelty Hearts 20.94%

Team To Score First

Hamilton Academical 58.25% (-0.04)
No Goal 6.67% (+0.01)
Kelty Hearts 35.08% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 59.4% (-0.07)
Equal 8 11.3%
Under 8 29.31% (+0.08)
Over 9 47.73% (-0.07)
Equal 9 11.66% (-0.01)
Under 9 40.6% (+0.07)
Over 10.5 36.69% (-0.06)
Under 10.5 63.31% (+0.06)

Hamilton Academical Goals

Over 1.5 50.19% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 49.81% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 24.51% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 75.49% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 9.81% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 90.19% (-0.07)

Kelty Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 57.95% (-0.15)
Under 0.5 42.05% (+0.15)
Over 1.5 24.98% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 75.02% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 8.01% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 91.99% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 2.23% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.77% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Hamilton Academical 53.74%
Draw 24.14%
Kelty Hearts 22.11%
Hamilton Academical
1-0 @ 11.37% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 9.11% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.43% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.16%
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.02)
Other @ 9.73% (+0.07)
Total : 53.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.37% (-0.07)
0-0 @ 6.67% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 24.14%
Kelty Hearts
0-1 @ 6.3%
1-2 @ 5.62% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.3%
1-3 @ 1.93%
2-3 @ 1.72% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.09% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.15% (-0.02)
Total : 22.11%

Head to Head

Scottish League One
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT New Central Park
  • James Graham 55' yellowcard
  • Aaron Arnott 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Oli Shaw 57'
  • yellowcard Gregor Crookston 67'
  • yellowcard C. Forrest 76'
Scottish League One
Nov 22, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League One
Sep 20, 2025 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League One Gameweek 36
May 4, 2024 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT The Hope CBD Stadium
  • Liam Morgan 7' goal
  • Jake Hastie 25' goal
  • Lewis Smith 78' goal
  • Jake Hastie 81' goal
  • goal Craig Johnston 42'
Scottish League One Gameweek 27
Mar 2, 2024 3.00pm
0
5
HT : 0 3
FT New Central Park
  • Michael Tidser 22' yellowcard
  • Michael Tidser 22' yellowcard
  • goal Jake Davidson 3'
  • goal Ahkeem Rose 17'
  • goal Ahkeem Rose 32'
  • goal Reghan Tumilty 50'
  • goal Ahkeem Rose 64'
Scottish League One Gameweek 18
Dec 23, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Hope CBD Stadium
  • Dylan Tait 31' yellowcard
  • Kevin O'Hara 62' goal
  • Lewis Smith 65' yellowcard
  • Dylan Tait 79' redcard
  • yellowcard Michael Tidser 24'
  • yellowcard Michael Tidser 24'
  • yellowcard Jason Thomson 33'
  • goal Craig Johnston 81'