Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 53.75%. A draw had a probability of 24.14% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 22.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%) , while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.