Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 1-2 (7.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.