Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 47.04%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-2 (7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.