Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.45%) and 2-0 (5.84%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-2 (8.22%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.