Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 51.46%. A draw had a probability of 24.86% and a win for Stranraer had a probability of 23.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.13%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%) , while for a Stranraer win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.