Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 48.41%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 22.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.09%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 2-1 (6.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.