Scottish League Cup Gameweek 1
Jul 11, 2026 3.00pm
Stair Park

Stranraer vs Ayr United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Stranraer

All competitions

Ayr United

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ayr United win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Stranraer has a probability of 31.21% and a draw has a probability of 26.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ayr United win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Stranraer win is 1-0 (8.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.29%).

Result

Stranraer 31.21%
Draw 26.18%
Ayr United 42.61%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.46%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.98%
Under 1.5 25.02%
Over 2.5 51%
Under 2.5 49%
Over 3.5 28.98%
Under 3.5 71.02%
Over 4.5 17%
Under 4.5 83%

First Half Winner

Stranraer 30.53%
Draw 39.11%
Ayr United 30.36%

Team To Score First

Stranraer 44.63%
No Goal 7.08%
Ayr United 48.29%

Corners

Over 8 62.65%
Equal 8 10.73%
Under 8 26.62%
Over 9 51.31%
Equal 9 11.34%
Under 9 37.35%
Over 10.5 40.31%
Under 10.5 59.69%

Stranraer Goals

Over 1.5 32.64%
Under 1.5 67.36%
Over 2.5 12.14%
Under 2.5 87.86%
Over 3.5 4.03%
Under 3.5 95.97%

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5 73.72%
Under 0.5 26.28%
Over 1.5 41.58%
Under 1.5 58.42%
Over 2.5 19.17%
Under 2.5 80.83%
Over 3.5 7.31%
Under 3.5 92.69%

Score analysis

Stranraer 31.21%
Draw 26.18%
Ayr United 42.6%
Stranraer
1-0 @ 8.21%
2-1 @ 7.46%
2-0 @ 4.9%
3-1 @ 2.67%
3-0 @ 2.33%
3-2 @ 1.89%
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 31.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 7.08%
2-2 @ 5.31%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 26.18%
Ayr United
0-1 @ 9.72%
1-2 @ 8.41%
0-2 @ 6.8%
1-3 @ 3.99%
0-3 @ 3.82%
2-3 @ 2.83%
Other @ 7.03%
Total : 42.6%

Head to Head

Scottish Challenge Cup
Jan 13, 2026 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 3 1
FT Somerset Park
  • Curtis Main 11' goal
  • Oleksandr Shovkovskyi 11' goal
  • Ben Dempsey 42' yellowcard
  • George Finney 45'+1' goal
  • Aaron Brown 46' yellowcard
  • Kevin Holt 62' yellowcard
  • Dom Thomas 62' yellowcard
  • Dominic Thomas 62' yellowcard
  • Kevin Holt 64' yellowcard
  • Dom Thomas 64' yellowcard
  • Curtis Main 64' yellowcard
  • Dom Thomas 71' goal
  • Dominic Thomas 71' goal
  • Lucas McRoberts 77' yellowcard
  • Jack Simpson 77' yellowcard
  • Lucas McRoberts 78' yellowcard
  • Jack Simpson 78' yellowcard
  • goal Ronan Hughes 22'
  • yellowcard Jordan Stuart 63'
  • yellowcard Dean Clelland 63'
  • yellowcard Daniel McManus 63'
  • yellowcard Aaron Quigg 74'
  • yellowcard Ronan Hughes 74'
  • yellowcard Corey O'Donnell 74'
  • yellowcard Corey O’Donnell 74'
Scottish League Cup
Nov 14, 2020 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
ET
  • Luke McCowan 47' goal
  • Mark McKenzie 90' yellowcard
  • goal Darryl Duffy 2'
Scottish League Cup
Jul 27, 2019 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Michael Moffat 2' goal
  • Stephen Kelly 44' goal
  • goal Adam Cummins 42'
  • goal Adam Cummins 86'
Scottish League One
Apr 14, 2018 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Somerset Park (Ayr)
  • Jamie Adams 16' goal
  • Lawrence Shankland 32' redcard
  • goal Grant Anderson 3'
  • yellowcard Gavin Scott 60'
  • yellowcard Jamie Hamill 64'
  • goal Scott Agnew 85'
Scottish League One
Jan 2, 2018 3.00pm
1
5
HT : 0 2
FT Stair Park (Stranraer)
  • Kyle Turner 80' goal
  • Chris McGowan 88' yellowcard
  • goal Lawrence Shankland 8'
  • goal Michael Moffat 39'
  • yellowcard Michael Rose 47'
  • goal Alan Forrest 49'
  • goal Lawrence Shankland 53'
  • goal Alan Forrest 63'
  • yellowcard Jamie Adams 65'
Scottish League One
Oct 28, 2017 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Somerset Park (Ayr)
  • Andy Geggan 27' yellowcard
  • Patrick Boyle 28' yellowcard
  • Michael Moffat 66' goal
  • Jamie Adams 75' yellowcard
  • Lawrence Shankland 80' goal
  • yellowcard Ryan Thomson 34'
  • yellowcard Jamie Hamill 50'
  • yellowcard Morgyn Neill 56'
  • yellowcard Kyle Turner 59'
  • redcard Scott Robertson 75'
  • redcard Steven Bell 90'