Jul 11, 2026 3.00pm

2

3

HT : 1 0

FT Stair Park

Kenzi Nair 27'
Zach Bruce 34'
A. Traynor 37'
James Dolan 40'
A. Traynor 57'
Evan Dunne 79'

Shaun Want 39'
Ben Summers 49'
Ross Taylor 60'
Reece Lyon 73'
Ross Taylor 79'

Stranraer vs Ayr United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Stranraer

All competitions

D
D
W
D
W
D

Ayr United

All competitions

D
W
W
W
L
L

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ayr United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-0 (8.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result

Stranraer 31.21%

Draw 26.18%

Ayr United 42.61%

Both Teams to Score:

52.46%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.99% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 1.5 25.01% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 2.5 51%

Under 2.5 49%

Over 3.5 28.98%

Under 3.5 71.02%

Over 4.5 17%

Under 4.5 83%

First Half Winner

Stranraer 30.53%

Draw 39.11%

Ayr United 30.36%

Team To Score First

Stranraer 44.64% ▲ (+0.01)

No Goal 7.08%

Ayr United 48.28% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 62.64% ▼ (-0.01)

Equal 8 10.73%

Under 8 26.62%

Over 9 51.31%

Equal 9 11.34%

Under 9 37.36% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 10.5 40.31%

Under 10.5 59.69%

Stranraer Goals

Over 1.5 32.64%

Under 1.5 67.36%

Over 2.5 12.14%

Under 2.5 87.86%

Over 3.5 4.03%

Under 3.5 95.97%

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5 73.73% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 0.5 26.27% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 1.5 41.59% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 1.5 58.41% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 2.5 19.18% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 2.5 80.82% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 3.5 7.31%

Under 3.5 92.69%

Score analysis

Stranraer 31.21%

Draw 26.18%

Ayr United 42.61%

Stranraer

1-0 @ 8.21%

2-1 @ 7.46%

2-0 @ 4.9%

3-1 @ 2.67%

3-0 @ 2.33%

3-2 @ 1.89%

Other @ 3.75%

Total : 31.21%

Draw

1-1 @ 12.29%

0-0 @ 7.08%

2-2 @ 5.31%

3-3 @ 1.22%

Other @ 0.28%

Total : 26.18%

Ayr United

0-1 @ 9.72%

1-2 @ 8.41%

0-2 @ 6.8%

1-3 @ 3.99%

0-3 @ 3.83% ▲ (+0.02)

2-3 @ 2.83%

Other @ 7.03%

Total : 42.61%

Head to Head

Jan 13, 2026 7.45pm

4

1

HT : 3 1

FT Somerset Park

Curtis Main 11'
Oleksandr Shovkovskyi 11'
Ben Dempsey 42'
George Finney 45'+1'
Aaron Brown 46'
Kevin Holt 62'
Dom Thomas 62'
Dominic Thomas 62'
Kevin Holt 64'
Dom Thomas 64'
Curtis Main 64'
Dom Thomas 71'
Dominic Thomas 71'
Lucas McRoberts 77'
Jack Simpson 77'
Lucas McRoberts 78'
Jack Simpson 78'

Ronan Hughes 22'
Jordan Stuart 63'
Dean Clelland 63'
Daniel McManus 63'
Aaron Quigg 74'
Ronan Hughes 74'
Corey O'Donnell 74'
Corey O’Donnell 74'

Nov 14, 2020 3.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 1

ET

Luke McCowan 47'
Mark McKenzie 90'

Darryl Duffy 2'

Jul 27, 2019 3.00pm

2

2

HT : 2 1

FT

Michael Moffat 2'
Stephen Kelly 44'

Adam Cummins 42'
Adam Cummins 86'

Apr 14, 2018 3.00pm

1

2

HT : 1 1

FT Somerset Park (Ayr)

Jamie Adams 16'
Lawrence Shankland 32'

Grant Anderson 3'
Gavin Scott 60'
Jamie Hamill 64'
Scott Agnew 85'

Jan 2, 2018 3.00pm

1

5

HT : 0 2

FT Stair Park (Stranraer)

Kyle Turner 80'
Chris McGowan 88'

Lawrence Shankland 8'
Michael Moffat 39'
Michael Rose 47'
Alan Forrest 49'
Lawrence Shankland 53'
Alan Forrest 63'
Jamie Adams 65'

Oct 28, 2017 3.00pm

2

0

HT : 0 0

FT Somerset Park (Ayr)

Andy Geggan 27'
Patrick Boyle 28'
Michael Moffat 66'
Jamie Adams 75'
Lawrence Shankland 80'

Ryan Thomson 34'
Jamie Hamill 50'
Morgyn Neill 56'
Kyle Turner 59'
Scott Robertson 75'
Steven Bell 90'

Form Data

Morton 0 - 0 Stranraer

Renfrew 0 - 0 Stranraer

Stranraer 4 - 0 Dundela

Stranraer 0 - 0 Larne

Elgin 0 - 1 Stranraer

Stranraer 1 - 1 Stirling

Ayr 0 - 0 Darvel

Ayr 2 - 1 Airdrieonians

Ayr 3 - 0 Dumbarton

Ayr 3 - 0 Glenafton

Ayr 0 - 1 St Johnstone

Airdrieonians 2 - 1 Ayr