Scottish League Cup Gameweek 4
Jul 21, 2026 7.45pm
The Smisa Stadium

St Mirren vs East Kilbride - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last game
Jul 18, 2026 3.00pm
Cove Rangers 0 - 4 St Mirren

East Kilbride

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last game
Jul 18, 2026 3.00pm
East Kilbride 5 - 3 Dumbarton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a St Mirren win with a probability of 51.22%. A win for East Kilbride has a probability of 27.66% and a draw has a probability of 21.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.69%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest East Kilbride win is 1-2 (6.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.84%).

Result

St Mirren 51.22%
Draw 21.12%
East Kilbride 27.66%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.55%

Goals

Over 1.5 82.54%
Under 1.5 17.46%
Over 2.5 63.42%
Under 2.5 36.58%
Over 3.5 41.4%
Under 3.5 58.6%
Over 4.5 27.24%
Under 4.5 72.76%

First Half Winner

St Mirren 36.41%
Draw 39.75%
East Kilbride 23.84%

Team To Score First

St Mirren 57.31% (+0.02)
No Goal 4.64%
East Kilbride 38.05% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 66.27% (+0.04)
Equal 8 10.21%
Under 8 23.52% (-0.04)
Over 9 55.22% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.05% (-0.01)
Under 9 33.73% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 44.23% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 55.77% (-0.04)

St Mirren Goals

Over 1.5 53.89%
Under 1.5 46.11%
Over 2.5 29.72%
Under 2.5 70.28%
Over 3.5 12.86%
Under 3.5 87.14%

East Kilbride Goals

Over 0.5 63.31%
Under 0.5 36.69%
Over 1.5 34.46%
Under 1.5 65.54%
Over 2.5 15.12%
Under 2.5 84.88%
Over 3.5 5.83%
Under 3.5 94.17%

Score analysis

St Mirren 51.23%
Draw 21.11%
East Kilbride 27.66%
St Mirren
2-1 @ 9.11%
1-0 @ 7.69%
2-0 @ 6.92%
3-1 @ 5.77%
3-0 @ 4.92%
3-2 @ 4.3%
Other @ 12.52%
Total : 51.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.84%
2-2 @ 5.42%
0-0 @ 4.64%
3-3 @ 1.87%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 21.11%
East Kilbride
1-2 @ 6.26%
0-1 @ 5.13%
0-2 @ 3.36%
1-3 @ 2.97%
2-3 @ 2.72%
0-3 @ 1.73%
Other @ 5.49%
Total : 27.66%

Head to Head

Scottish League Cup
Jul 20, 2019 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Anton Brady 63' yellowcard
  • David Brownlie 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jack Baird 89'
Scottish Challenge Cup
Aug 15, 2017 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ross Stewart 87' goal
  • Lewis Morgan 92' goal
  • goal Dominic McLaren 81'