Scottish League Cup Gameweek 1
Jul 11, 2026 3.00pm
The YOUR Radio 103FM Stadium

Dumbarton vs St Mirren - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dumbarton

All competitions

St Mirren

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a St Mirren win with a probability of 66.77%. A draw has a probability of 19.43% and a win for Dumbarton has a probability of 13.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.88%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.37%) , while for a Dumbarton win it is 1-0 (4.65%).

Result

Dumbarton 13.79% (+0.01)
Draw 19.43% (+0.01)
St Mirren 66.77% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.93% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.44% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 21.56% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 55.89%
Under 2.5 44.11%
Over 3.5 34.75%
Under 3.5 65.25%
Over 4.5 23.15% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 76.85% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Dumbarton 16.06% (+0.06)
Draw 36.81% (+0.08)
St Mirren 47.13% (-0.13)

Team To Score First

Dumbarton 27.72% (-0.04)
No Goal 5.73% (+0.02)
St Mirren 66.55% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 63.18% (+0.01)
Equal 8 10.26%
Under 8 26.56% (-0.02)
Over 9 52.28% (+0.01)
Equal 9 10.9%
Under 9 36.82% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 41.6% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 58.4% (-0.01)

Dumbarton Goals

Over 1.5 16.76% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 83.24% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 3.71% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 96.29% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 0.95%
Under 3.5 99.05%

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5 85.97% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 14.03% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 60.77% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 39.23% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 35.8% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 64.2% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 17.51%
Under 3.5 82.49%

Score analysis

Dumbarton 13.79%
Draw 19.44%
St Mirren 66.77%
Dumbarton
1-0 @ 4.65%
2-1 @ 3.72% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 2.3%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 13.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.37%
0-0 @ 5.73% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.75%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 19.44%
St Mirren
0-1 @ 11.18% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 10.88%
1-2 @ 9.5% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 7.5% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 6.93% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.28%
Other @ 17.5%
Total : 66.77%

Head to Head

Scottish League Cup
Jul 10, 2021 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT The C&G Systems Stadium
Scottish League Cup
Jul 28, 2018 3.00pm
6
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Hayden Coulson 3' goal
  • Cameron Smith 35' goal
  • Ross Stewart 48' goal
  • Stephen McGinn 53' goal
  • Jim Kellerman 82' goal
  • Cameron Smith 84' goal
  • yellowcard Willie Dyer 31'
  • yellowcard Craig Barr 40'
  • yellowcard Stuart Carswell 58'
Scottish Championship
Mar 27, 2018 7.45pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT The Paisley 2021 Stadium (Paisley)
  • Lewis Morgan 13' goal
  • Cameron Smith 32' goal
  • Danny Mullen 49' goal
  • Gavin Reilly 70' goal
  • Lewis Morgan 85' goal
  • yellowcard Liam Dick 54'
Scottish Championship
Jan 13, 2018 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT The Cheaper Insurance Direct Stadium (Dumbarton)
  • Tom Walsh 40' yellowcard
  • Stuart Carswell 63' yellowcard
  • Andy Dowie 71' yellowcard
  • goal Cameron Smith 47'
  • goal Stephen McGinn 58'
Scottish Championship
Dec 2, 2017 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Paisley 2021 Stadium (Paisley)
  • Stelios Demetriou 43' redcard
  • Tom Walsh 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dimitris Froxylias 77'
  • goal Tom Walsh 80'
Scottish Championship
Oct 14, 2017 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Cheaper Insurance Direct Stadium (Dumbarton)
  • Kyle Hutton 28' yellowcard
  • goal Gavin Reilly 36'
  • goal John Sutton 70'