Scottish Premiership
St Mirren
May 17, 2026 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Smisa Stadium
Dundee Utd
  • Jacob Devaney 46' yellowcard
  • Thomas Falconer 46' yellowcard
  • Jalmaro Calvin 66' yellowcard
  • Richard King 66' yellowcard
  • Jake Young 69' goal
  • Caiden McMillan 85' yellowcard
  • goal Zachary Sapsford 27'
  • yellowcard Julius Eskesen 59'
  • yellowcard Johnny Russell 59'
  • yellowcard Scott Constable 66'
  • yellowcard Bert Esselink 74'
  • yellowcard Owen Stirton 74'

St Mirren vs Dundee United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
May 12, 2026 7.45pm
Aberdeen 0 - 2 St Mirren
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Miguel Freckleton

Dundee United

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
May 12, 2026 7.45pm
Dundee Utd 0 - 0 Livingston
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Zachary Sapsford

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 34.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 0-1 (8.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result

St Mirren 39.23% ▲ (+1.23)
Draw 25.86% ▲ (+0.15)
Dundee United 34.9% ▼ (-1.40)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.2% ▼ (-0.58)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.78% ▼ (-0.66)
Under 1.5 25.22% ▲ (+0.67)
Over 2.5 50.81% ▼ (-1.09)
Under 2.5 49.19% ▲ (+1.13)
Over 3.5 29.02% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 70.98% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 15.81% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 4.5 84.19% ▲ (+0.08)

First Half Winner

St Mirren 32.14% ▲ (+1.18)
Draw 43.35% ▼ (-0.88)
Dundee United 24.5% ▼ (-0.31)

Team To Score First

St Mirren 55.9% ▲ (+0.16)
No Goal 7.02% ▲ (+0.31)
Dundee United 37.08% ▼ (-0.47)

Corners

Over 8 63.86% ▲ (+0.01)
Equal 8 10.73% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 8 25.41% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 9 52.41% ▲ (+0.41)
Equal 9 11.45% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 9 36.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 10.5 41.22% ▲ (+0.83)
Under 10.5 58.78% ▼ (-0.83)

St Mirren Goals

Over 1.5 39.26% ▲ (+0.73)
Under 1.5 60.74% ▼ (-0.73)
Over 2.5 16.07% ▲ (+0.39)
Under 2.5 83.93% ▼ (-0.38)
Over 3.5 5.54% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 94.46% ▲ (+0.03)

Dundee United Goals

Over 0.5 68.87% ▼ (-0.97)
Under 0.5 31.13% ▲ (+0.97)
Over 1.5 35.6% ▼ (-1.30)
Under 1.5 64.4% ▲ (+1.31)
Over 2.5 14.02% ▼ (-0.90)
Under 2.5 85.98% ▲ (+0.90)
Over 3.5 4.35% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 3.5 95.65% ▲ (+0.18)

Score analysis

St Mirren 39.24%
Draw 25.87%
Dundee United 34.9%
St Mirren
1-0 @ 9.4% ▲ (+0.33)
2-1 @ 8.56% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 6.56% ▲ (+0.41)
3-1 @ 4.02% ▲ (+0.26)
3-0 @ 2.83% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.27)
Other @ 5.33% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 39.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.88% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 7.02% ▲ (+0.31)
2-2 @ 5.62% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.21% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 25.87%
Dundee United
0-1 @ 8.81% ▲ (+0.06)
1-2 @ 7.9% ▼ (-0.69)
0-2 @ 5.52% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.58% ▼ (-0.17)
0-3 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.40)
2-3 @ 2.45% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 4.14% ▼ (-0.16)
Total : 34.9%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 23
Dundee Utd
Mar 3, 2026 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Tannadice Park
St Mirren
  • Marcus Fraser 8' goal
  • Emmanuel Agyei 46' yellowcard
  • 46' yellowcard
  • Amar Fatah  66' yellowcard
  • Zachary Sapsford 69' yellowcard
  • Will Ferry 75' yellowcard
  • Amar Fatah  83' goal
  • Amar Fatah 83' yellowcard
  • Johnny Russell 84' yellowcard
  • Kristijan Trapanovski 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard J. Young 46'
  • goal J. Young 47'
  • goal Jake Young 47'
  • yellowcard Declan John 65'
  • yellowcard Jalmaro Calvin 84'
  • yellowcard Richard King 84'
  • yellowcard Kion Etete 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Miguel Freckleton 90'+1'
Scottish Premiership
St Mirren
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Smisa Stadium
Dundee Utd
  • Conor McMenamin 17' goal
  • Fraser Taylor 34' yellowcard
  • Keanu Baccus 61' yellowcard
  • Keanu Baccus 66' goal
  • yellowcard Zac Sapsford 14'
  • yellowcard Zachary Sapsford 14'
  • yellowcard Krisztian Keresztes 24'
  • yellowcard Krisztián Keresztes 24'
Scottish Premiership
St Mirren
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
Dundee Utd
Scottish Premiership
Dundee Utd
Oct 25, 2025 3.00pm
St Mirren
Scottish Premiership
Dundee Utd
Oct 25, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Tannadice Park
St Mirren
  • Zachary Sapsford 42' goal
  • Craig Sibbald 60' yellowcard
  • Amar Fatah  84' goal
  • Craig Sibbald 90' goal
  • goal Dan Nlundulu 18'
  • yellowcard Shamal George 41'
  • redcard Alex Gogic 83'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 36
Dundee Utd
May 10, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Tannadice Park
St Mirren
  • goal Mikael Mandron 31'
  • yellowcard Killian Phillips 50'
  • goal Jonah Ayunga 66'
  • yellowcard Richard Taylor 71'

Form Data

Aberdeen 0 - 2 St Mirren
St Mirren 0 - 3 Kilmarnock
Dundee 1 - 0 St Mirren
St Mirren 0 - 2 Livingston
Celtic 6 - 2 St Mirren
Celtic 1 - 0 St Mirren
Dundee Utd 0 - 0 Livingston
Aberdeen 2 - 0 Dundee Utd
Kilmarnock 3 - 0 Dundee Utd
Dundee Utd 3 - 0 Dundee
Dundee Utd 3 - 2 Livingston
Rangers 4 - 2 Dundee Utd