Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 34.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 0-1 (8.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.