Club Friendlies 3
Jul 4, 2026 3.00pm
K Park Training Academy

East Kilbride vs Dumbarton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

East Kilbride

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jun 27, 2026 3.00pm
East Kilbride 4 - 0 Kelty Hearts

Dumbarton

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jun 30, 2026 7.30pm
Ayr 3 - 0 Dumbarton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Kilbride win with a probability of 66.09%. A draw had a probability of 17.44% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 16.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a East Kilbride win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.6%) and 3-1 (7.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.95%) , while for a Dumbarton win it was 1-2 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result

East Kilbride 66.09% (-1.85)
Draw 17.44% (+0.55)
Dumbarton 16.48% (+1.37)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.79% (+0.47)

Goals

Over 1.5 86.4% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 13.6% (-0.19)
Over 2.5 69.82% (+0.80)
Under 2.5 30.13% (-0.86)
Over 3.5 49.62% (+2.10)
Under 3.5 50.38% (-2.10)
Over 4.5 35.97% (+2.82)
Under 4.5 64.03% (-2.82)

First Half Winner

East Kilbride 51.95% (-1.44)
Draw 31.57% (+0.63)
Dumbarton 16.48% (+0.83)

Team To Score First

East Kilbride 68.72% (-4.08)
No Goal 3.77% (+0.63)
Dumbarton 27.51% (+3.45)

Corners

Over 8 61.1% (+0.65)
Equal 8 10.53% (-0.16)
Under 8 28.37% (-0.50)
Over 9 50.15% (+0.76)
Equal 9 10.96% (-0.10)
Under 9 38.9% (-0.65)
Over 10.5 39.62% (+0.80)
Under 10.5 60.38% (-0.80)

East Kilbride Goals

Over 1.5 68.09% (-0.38)
Under 1.5 31.91% (+0.38)
Over 2.5 45.28% (+1.29)
Under 2.5 54.72% (-1.29)
Over 3.5 26.3% (+2.40)
Under 3.5 73.7% (-2.40)

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5 49.47% (-0.54)
Under 0.5 50.53% (+0.54)
Over 1.5 23.76% (+0.79)
Under 1.5 76.24% (-0.79)
Over 2.5 8.99% (+1.12)
Under 2.5 91.01% (-1.11)
Over 3.5 2.92% (+0.49)
Under 3.5 97.08% (-0.49)

Score analysis

East Kilbride 66.1%
Draw 17.43%
Dumbarton 16.47%
East Kilbride
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.88)
2-0 @ 7.6% (-0.88)
3-1 @ 7.03% (-0.59)
3-0 @ 6.67% (-0.33)
1-0 @ 6.58% (-1.12)
3-2 @ 3.83% (-0.30)
Other @ 25.91% (+2.24)
Total : 66.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.95% (-0.17)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.19)
0-0 @ 3.77% (+0.63)
3-3 @ 1.45% (+0.11)
Other @ 0.39% (+0.16)
Total : 17.43%
Dumbarton
1-2 @ 4.04% (-0.27)
0-1 @ 3.25% (+0.34)
0-2 @ 2.03% (+0.43)
2-3 @ 1.86% (+0.27)
1-3 @ 1.74% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.53% (+0.34)
Total : 16.47%

Head to Head

Scottish League Two
Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The YOUR Radio 103FM Stadium
  • Brett Long 46' yellowcard
  • Jack Duncan 76' yellowcard
  • Ally Roy 82' yellowcard
  • Tony Wallace 88' yellowcard
  • goal Bobby McLuckie 9'
  • yellowcard Cameron Elliott 65'
Scottish League Two
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT K Park Training Academy
  • Bobby McLuckie 30' goal
  • João Balde 34' goal
  • John Robertson 38' goal
  • Keir Foster 57' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Scott Honeyman 64'
  • yellowcard Scott Tomlinson 64'
  • yellowcard Scott Honeyman 65'
  • yellowcard Scott Tomlinson 65'
  • goal Ali Omar 67'
  • yellowcard Tobi Joseph 80'
  • yellowcard Aaron Brown 80'
  • yellowcard Ryan Blair 80'
Scottish League Two
Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Dominic Docherty 3' goal
  • Mark Durnan 26' goal
  • Kai Kirkpatrick 72' yellowcard
  • 72' yellowcard
  • Mark Durnan 75' yellowcard
  • 87' yellowcard
  • Leighton McIntosh 88' yellowcard
  • 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lewis Spence 33'
  • yellowcard Lewis Spence 35'
  • yellowcard Jack Leitch 74'
  • yellowcard Jack Leitch 75'
  • yellowcard 75'
  • yellowcard 88'
Scottish League Two
Sep 20, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League Cup
Jul 13, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT The C&G Systems Stadium
  • Kalvin Orsi 16' goal
  • James Hilton 24' yellowcard
  • Tony Wallace 89' yellowcard
  • goal David Wilson 7' (OG)
  • yellowcard Andrew McDonald 40'
  • yellowcard Jack Leitch 42'
  • yellowcard Keir Samson 89'