Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 37.27%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 28.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.69%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (9.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%).