Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 36.25%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 30.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Arbroath win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.77%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 (10.99%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.