Scottish Championship
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Gayfield Park
  • Jacob MacIntyre 45' goal
  • Scott Robinson 79' yellowcard
  • Findlay Marshall 83' goal
  • yellowcard Scott Brown 56'
  • yellowcard Paul Hanlon 56'
  • yellowcard Richard Chin 57'
  • yellowcard Andy Winter 65'
  • yellowcard Kai Montagu 77'
  • goal Kai Montagu 90'

Arbroath vs Raith Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Arbroath

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
Ayr 1 - 0 Arbroath
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Findlay Marshall

Raith Rovers

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Apr 14, 2026 7.45pm
Queen's Park 0 - 2 Raith Rovers
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Jack Hamilton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 28.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (10.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result

Arbroath 34.11% (-1.90)
Draw 28.42% (-0.53)
Raith Rovers 37.47% (+2.50)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.74% (-0.70)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.74% (+0.50)
Under 1.5 31.26% (-0.50)
Over 2.5 43.34% (+0.48)
Under 2.5 56.66% (-0.48)
Over 3.5 22.35% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 77.65% (-0.15)
Over 4.5 11.34% (+0.17)
Under 4.5 88.66% (-0.18)

First Half Winner

Arbroath 26.96% (-2.54)
Draw 47.33% (+0.58)
Raith Rovers 25.71% (+1.97)

Team To Score First

Arbroath 43.59% (-4.58)
No Goal 9.91% (+0.07)
Raith Rovers 46.5% (+4.53)

Corners

Over 8 48.93% (-1.22)
Equal 8 12.33% (-0.02)
Under 8 38.75% (+1.25)
Over 9 37.2% (-1.10)
Equal 9 11.72% (-0.13)
Under 9 51.07% (+1.22)
Over 10.5 26.98% (-0.90)
Under 10.5 73.02% (+0.90)

Arbroath Goals

Over 1.5 31.33% (-1.36)
Under 1.5 68.67% (+1.36)
Over 2.5 10.88% (-0.82)
Under 2.5 89.12% (+0.83)
Over 3.5 2.99% (-0.34)
Under 3.5 97.01% (+0.35)

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 68.28% (+1.33)
Under 0.5 31.72% (-1.33)
Over 1.5 34.32% (+2.00)
Under 1.5 65.68% (-2.00)
Over 2.5 12.65% (+1.00)
Under 2.5 87.35% (-1.00)
Over 3.5 3.73% (+0.34)
Under 3.5 96.27% (-0.33)

Score analysis

Arbroath 34.11%
Draw 28.42%
Raith Rovers 37.46%
Arbroath
1-0 @ 10.61% (-0.67)
2-1 @ 7.57% (-0.36)
2-0 @ 5.91% (-0.31)
3-1 @ 2.91% (-0.19)
3-0 @ 2.36% (-0.15)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.92% (-0.21)
Total : 34.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.75% (-0.28)
0-0 @ 9.91% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.07% (-0.13)
Total : 28.42%
Raith Rovers
0-1 @ 10.73% (+0.17)
1-2 @ 8.19% (+0.46)
0-2 @ 6.75% (+0.63)
1-3 @ 3.2% (+0.23)
0-3 @ 2.86% (+0.37)
2-3 @ 2.07% (+0.19)
Other @ 3.66% (+0.46)
Total : 37.46%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 22
Jan 10, 2026 3.00pm
Stark's Park
Scottish Championship
Nov 22, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship Gameweek 36
May 3, 2024 7.45pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stark's Park
  • Callum Smith 21' goal
  • Callum Smith 25' goal
  • Lewis Vaughan 56' goal
  • Lewis Vaughan 79' goal
  • Jack Hamilton 82' goal
Scottish Championship Gameweek 27
Mar 1, 2024 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT Gayfield Park
  • Jay Bird 61' goal
  • Leighton McIntosh 69' goal
  • Mark Stowe 77' goal
  • goal Zak Rudden 26'
  • yellowcard Ross Matthews 46'
  • goal Josh Mullin 49'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 18
Dec 30, 2023 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stark's Park
  • Dylan Easton 34' goal
  • Jack Hamilton 61' goal
  • Scott Brown 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Craig Slater 56'
  • goal Ally Adams 76'
  • goal Leighton McIntosh 81'