May 1, 2026 7.45pm

East End Park

Dunfermline Athletic vs Arbroath - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dunfermline Athletic

All competitions

W
L
D
D
L
W

Scottish Championship

W
L
D
L
W
W

Last game

Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm

Queen's Park 0 - 2 Dunfermline

Goals scored

48

Top scorer

Andy Tod

Arbroath

All competitions

D
W
L
L
L
W

Scottish Championship

D
W
L
L
L
W

Last game

Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm

Arbroath 0 - 0 Partick

Goals scored

40

Top scorer

Findlay Marshall

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 39.76%. A win for Arbroath has a probability of 33.24% and a draw has a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Arbroath win is 0-1 (10.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.61%).

Result

Dunfermline Athletic 39.76% ▲ (+0.04)

Draw 27%

Arbroath 33.24% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score:

48.92%

Goals

Over 1.5 69.41% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 1.5 30.59% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 2.5 43.91% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 2.5 56.09% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 3.5 23.01%

Under 3.5 76.99%

Over 4.5 11.83% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 4.5 88.17% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Dunfermline Athletic 28.55%

Draw 45.88% ▲ (+0.07)

Arbroath 25.57% ▼ (-0.06)

Team To Score First

Dunfermline Athletic 46.17% ▲ (+0.03)

No Goal 9.09%

Arbroath 44.74% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 51.71%

Equal 8 12.04%

Under 8 36.25%

Over 9 40.02%

Equal 9 11.7%

Under 9 48.29%

Over 10.5 29.58%

Under 10.5 70.42%

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 1.5 35.48% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 1.5 64.52% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 2.5 13.45% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 2.5 86.55% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 3.5 4.11%

Under 3.5 95.89%

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5 65.3% ▼ (-0.05)

Under 0.5 34.7% ▲ (+0.05)

Over 1.5 30.65% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 1.5 69.35% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 2.5 10.62% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 2.5 89.38% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 3.5 3.01% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 3.5 96.99% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Dunfermline Athletic 39.75%

Draw 27%

Arbroath 33.24%

Dunfermline Athletic

1-0 @ 11.47%

2-1 @ 8.41%

2-0 @ 7.12%

3-1 @ 3.61%

3-0 @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.02)

3-2 @ 2.13%

Other @ 4.1%

Total : 39.75%

Draw

1-1 @ 12.61% ▼ (-0.01)

0-0 @ 9.09%

2-2 @ 4.6%

Other @ 0.01%

Total : 27%

Arbroath

0-1 @ 10.02% ▼ (-0.01)

1-2 @ 7.53%

0-2 @ 5.77%

1-3 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.01)

0-3 @ 2.05%

2-3 @ 1.9%

Other @ 3% ▼ (-0.01)

Total : 33.24%

Head to Head

Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm

4

2

HT : 1 2

FT Gayfield Park

Ryan Dow 2'
Aaron Muirhead 49'
Tom Beadling 53'
Robbie Fraser 68'
Aidan Nesbitt 71'
Scott Stewart 87'
Findlay Marshall 89'

14'
Andy Tod 14'
Deniz Mehmet 46'
Chris Kane 63'
Chris Hamilton 63'
Josh Cooper 73'
Alfonso Amade 73'
Josh Cooper 82'

Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm

1

2

HT : 0 0

FT

Barney Stewart 61'
Ewan Otoo 65'
John Tod 81'
Jefferson Caceres 90'+1'

Brooklyn Kabongolo 75'
90'
90'
Thomas O'Brien 90'
Thomas O'Brien 90'+1'
Findlay Marshall 90'+2'
Brooklyn Kabongolo 90'+5'

Sep 13, 2025 3.00pm

0

5

HT : 0 0

FT

Mar 30, 2024 3.00pm

2

3

HT : 0 3

FT Gayfield Park

Scott Stewart 54'
Scott Stewart 64'

Ewan Otoo 24'
Paul Allan 32'
Chris Kane 45'
Kane Ritchie-Hosler 90'+4'

Feb 17, 2024 3.00pm

1

1

HT : 1 0

FT East End Park

Malachi Fagan-Walcott 18'
Xavier Benjamin 21'
Michael O'Halloran 26'
Chris Kane 63'
Lewis McCann 73'

Jess Norey 27'
Thomas O'Brien 34'
Thomas O'Brien 52'
Colin Hamilton 90'+1'
Colin Hamilton 90'+2'

Dec 23, 2023 3.00pm

1

1

HT : 1 0

FT Gayfield Park

Jay Bird 21'
Jay Bird 45'+3'
Jay Bird 74'
Jermaine Hylton 75'

Alex Jakubiak 67'
Craig Wighton 90'+1'

Form Data

Queen's Park 0 - 2 Dunfermline

Dunfermline 0 - 2 St Johnstone

Dunfermline 0 - 0 Falkirk

Airdrieonians 2 - 2 Dunfermline

Partick 2 - 0 Dunfermline

Ayr 0 - 3 Dunfermline

Arbroath 0 - 0 Partick

Arbroath 2 - 1 Raith Rovers

Ayr 1 - 0 Arbroath

Arbroath 2 - 4 St Johnstone

Morton 2 - 1 Arbroath

Arbroath 1 - 0 Queen's Park