Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 39.76%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (10.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.