Scottish League Cup Gameweek 5
Jul 26, 2026 3.00pm
The Smisa Stadium

St Mirren vs Dunfermline Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last game
Jul 21, 2026 7.45pm
St Mirren 4 - 3 East Kilbride

Dunfermline Athletic

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last game
Jul 21, 2026 7.45pm
Dunfermline 5 - 0 Cove Rangers

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a St Mirren win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic has a probability of 33.85% and a draw has a probability of 24.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win is 1-2 (7.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.61%).

Result

St Mirren 42.11% (+4.82)
Draw 24.04% (+0.28)
Dunfermline Athletic 33.85% (-5.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.72% (+0.87)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.57% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 21.43% (+0.24)
Over 2.5 56.95% (-0.34)
Under 2.5 43.05% (+0.33)
Over 3.5 34.31% (+0.54)
Under 3.5 65.69% (-0.54)
Over 4.5 20.07% (+0.15)
Under 4.5 79.93% (-0.14)

First Half Winner

St Mirren 32.27% (+2.76)
Draw 41.44% (-0.09)
Dunfermline Athletic 26.29% (-2.68)

Team To Score First

St Mirren 53.65% (+4.50)
No Goal 5.69% (-0.02)
Dunfermline Athletic 40.66% (-4.49)

Corners

Over 8 62.75% (-3.21)
Equal 8 10.67% (+0.08)
Under 8 26.59% (+3.15)
Over 9 51.45% (-2.95)
Equal 9 11.3% (-0.25)
Under 9 37.25% (+3.22)
Over 10.5 40.45% (-2.45)
Under 10.5 59.55% (+2.45)

St Mirren Goals

Over 1.5 44.04% (+4.02)
Under 1.5 55.96% (-4.02)
Over 2.5 20.88% (+3.06)
Under 2.5 79.12% (-3.05)
Over 3.5 7.42% (+1.58)
Under 3.5 92.58% (-1.58)

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 69.22% (-3.40)
Under 0.5 30.78% (+3.40)
Over 1.5 37.37% (-4.32)
Under 1.5 62.63% (+4.32)
Over 2.5 15.65% (-3.05)
Under 2.5 84.35% (+3.04)
Over 3.5 5.48% (-1.49)
Under 3.5 94.52% (+1.49)

Score analysis

St Mirren 42.11%
Draw 24.04%
Dunfermline Athletic 33.86%
St Mirren
2-1 @ 8.87% (+0.39)
1-0 @ 8.2% (+0.67)
2-0 @ 6.22% (+0.72)
3-1 @ 4.82% (+0.75)
3-0 @ 3.56% (+0.48)
3-2 @ 3.32% (+0.28)
Other @ 7.12% (+1.54)
Total : 42.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.61% (+0.23)
0-0 @ 5.69% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.68% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.76% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.3% (+0.03)
Total : 24.04%
Dunfermline Athletic
1-2 @ 7.94% (-0.75)
0-1 @ 7.55% (-0.44)
0-2 @ 4.78% (-0.85)
1-3 @ 3.74% (-0.39)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.18)
0-3 @ 2.28% (-0.98)
Other @ 5.18% (-1.53)
Total : 33.86%

Head to Head

Scottish League Cup
Jul 13, 2021 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT The SMISA Stadium
  • Curtis Main 30' goal
  • yellowcard Paul Allan 75'
  • yellowcard Nikolay Todorov 90'+3'
Scottish League Cup
Jul 14, 2019 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Cody Cooke 63' goal
  • Daniel Mullen 65' goal
  • goal Ryan Dow 18'
  • goal Andy Ryan 24'
  • goal Tom Beadling 40'
Scottish Championship
Mar 10, 2018 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Paisley 2021 Stadium (Paisley)
  • Harry Davis 69' goal
  • Liam Smith 72' goal
  • yellowcard Jason Talbot 17'
  • redcard Jason Talbot 68'
  • yellowcard Lee Robinson 69'
  • yellowcard Callum Morris 80'
Scottish Championship
Jan 26, 2018 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT East End Park (Dunfermline)
  • Dean Shiels 30' yellowcard
  • Nicky Clark 49' goal
  • Nicky Clark 62' yellowcard
  • James Craigen 68' yellowcard
  • Callum Morris 81' yellowcard
  • goal Cameron Smith 13'
  • goal Jack Baird 64'
Scottish Championship
Dec 16, 2017 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Paisley 2021 Stadium (Paisley)
  • Cameron Smith 38' goal
  • yellowcard Sean Murdoch 9'
  • yellowcard Callum Morris 22'
  • yellowcard Declan McManus 57'
  • yellowcard Ryan Williamson 65'
  • yellowcard Joe Cardle 75'
Scottish Championship
Sep 16, 2017 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Dean Shiels 9' yellowcard
  • Declan McManus 20' goal
  • Lee Ashcroft 40' yellowcard
  • David Hopkirk 45' goal
  • Callum Morris 56' goal
  • Ryan Williamson 58' yellowcard
  • Jason Talbot 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gregor Buchanan 49'
  • yellowcard Stephen McGinn 74'
  • redcard Adam Eckersley 87'
  • redcard Gregor Buchanan 88'