Scottish Premiership Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2026 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Fir Park
  • S. Palmer-Houlden 19' goal
  • S. Palmer-Houlden 35' yellowcard
  • Alex Lowry 65' goal
  • Dylan Levitt 67' goal
  • redcard Emmanuel Agyei 14'

Motherwell vs Dundee United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 3.00pm
St Mirren 3 - 3 Motherwell
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Dylan Levitt

Dundee United

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Kilmarnock 0 - 4 Dundee Utd
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Lachlan Rose

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 0-1 (8.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result

Motherwell 38.9% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 27.49% ▲ (+0.02)
Dundee United 33.61% ▼ (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.47% ▼ (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.79% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 25.21% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 49.96% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 2.5 50.04% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 3.5 27.98% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 72.02% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 15.25% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 84.75% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Motherwell 31.71% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 41.94% ▼ (-0.02)
Dundee United 26.36% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Motherwell 49.78% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 7.41% ▲ (+0.05)
Dundee United 42.81%

Corners

Over 8 53.29% ▼ (-0.11)
Equal 8 11.57% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 35.14% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 9 41.91% ▼ (-0.08)
Equal 9 11.38% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 9 46.71% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 10.5 31.59% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 10.5 68.41% ▲ (+0.04)

Motherwell Goals

Over 1.5 39.27%
Under 1.5 60.73%
Over 2.5 16.06% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 83.94% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.51%
Under 3.5 94.49%

Dundee United Goals

Over 0.5 68.42% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 31.58% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 1.5 34.8% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 65.2% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 13.23% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 86.77% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 4.08% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.92% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Motherwell 38.91%
Draw 27.49%
Dundee United 33.62%
Motherwell
1-0 @ 9.31% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.57% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.53% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.8% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.13%
3-2 @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 5.22%
Total : 38.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.74% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.41% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.78% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 27.49%
Dundee United
0-1 @ 8.51% ▲ (+0.04)
1-2 @ 7.9% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.54% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.79% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 33.62%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Fir Park
  • Tawanda Maswanhise 37' yellowcard
  • Tawanda Maswanhise 46' goal
  • Eythor Bjørgolfsson 72' yellowcard
  • Oscar Priestman 72' yellowcard
  • Regan Charles-Cook 82' yellowcard
  • Tom Sparrow 82' yellowcard
  • Luca Ross 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kristijan Trapanovski 60'
  • yellowcard Amar Fatah 61'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Agyei 61'
  • yellowcard Zachary Sapsford 61'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Luca Stephenson 46' yellowcard
  • Will Ferry 67' yellowcard
  • 90' yellowcard
  • Vicko Sevelj 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tawanda Maswanhise 34'
  • yellowcard Callum Slattery 75'
  • yellowcard Elliot Watt 85'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Oct 29, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Oct 29, 2025 7.45pm
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 27
Feb 22, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Tannadice Park
  • Sam Dalby 31' goal
  • yellowcard Liam Gordon 43'
  • yellowcard Callum Slattery 71'