Scottish Premiership Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2026 7.45pm
Fir Park

Motherwell vs Dundee United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 3.00pm
St Mirren 3 - 3 Motherwell
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Jardell Kanga

Dundee United

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Kilmarnock 0 - 4 Dundee Utd
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Lachlan Rose

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Motherwell win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for Dundee United has a probability of 33.67% and a draw has a probability of 27.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Dundee United win is 0-1 (8.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.75%).

Result

Motherwell 38.86% (-0.54)
Draw 27.47% (+0.26)
Dundee United 33.67% (+0.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.53% (-0.90)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.86% (-0.82)
Under 1.5 25.14% (+0.82)
Over 2.5 50.08% (-1.08)
Under 2.5 49.92% (+1.08)
Over 3.5 28.03% (-0.83)
Under 3.5 71.97% (+0.83)
Over 4.5 15.28% (-0.54)
Under 4.5 84.72% (+0.54)

First Half Winner

Motherwell 31.67% (+0.12)
Draw 41.95% (-0.10)
Dundee United 26.38% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Motherwell 49.82% (-0.37)
No Goal 7.37% (+0.36)
Dundee United 42.81% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 53.39% (+0.05)
Equal 8 11.59% (+0.02)
Under 8 35.02% (-0.08)
Over 9 41.98% (+0.02)
Equal 9 11.41% (+0.02)
Under 9 46.61% (-0.05)
Over 10.5 31.63% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 68.37% (+0.02)

Motherwell Goals

Over 1.5 39.27% (-0.99)
Under 1.5 60.73% (+0.99)
Over 2.5 16.04% (-0.61)
Under 2.5 83.96% (+0.60)
Over 3.5 5.51% (-0.23)
Under 3.5 94.49% (+0.22)

Dundee United Goals

Over 0.5 68.47% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 31.53% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 34.88% (-0.28)
Under 1.5 65.12% (+0.29)
Over 2.5 13.3% (-0.21)
Under 2.5 86.7% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 4.1% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 95.9% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Motherwell 38.86%
Draw 27.47%
Dundee United 33.66%
Motherwell
1-0 @ 9.29% (+0.18)
2-1 @ 8.58% (-0.16)
2-0 @ 6.51% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.79% (-0.13)
3-0 @ 3.13% (-0.11)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.10)
Other @ 5.22% (-0.23)
Total : 38.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.75% (+0.10)
0-0 @ 7.37% (+0.36)
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.14)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 27.47%
Dundee United
0-1 @ 8.47% (+0.36)
1-2 @ 7.92% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 5.53% (+0.20)
1-3 @ 3.17% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.41% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.07)
Other @ 3.81% (-0.09)
Total : 33.66%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Fir Park
  • Tawanda Maswanhise 37' yellowcard
  • Tawanda Maswanhise 46' goal
  • Eythor Bjørgolfsson 72' yellowcard
  • Oscar Priestman 72' yellowcard
  • Regan Charles-Cook 82' yellowcard
  • Tom Sparrow 82' yellowcard
  • Luca Ross 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kristijan Trapanovski 60'
  • yellowcard Amar Fatah 61'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Agyei 61'
  • yellowcard Zachary Sapsford 61'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Luca Stephenson 46' yellowcard
  • Will Ferry 67' yellowcard
  • 90' yellowcard
  • Vicko Sevelj 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tawanda Maswanhise 34'
  • yellowcard Callum Slattery 75'
  • yellowcard Elliot Watt 85'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Oct 29, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Oct 29, 2025 7.45pm
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 27
Feb 22, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Tannadice Park
  • Sam Dalby 31' goal
  • yellowcard Liam Gordon 43'
  • yellowcard Callum Slattery 71'