Scottish Premiership Gameweek 4
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Rugby Park

Kilmarnock vs Dundee United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Hibernian 0 - 0 Kilmarnock
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Greg Kiltie

Dundee United

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 5.45pm
Dundee Utd 0 - 2 Dundee
Goals scored
1
Top scorer
Lachlan Rose

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 37.88%. A win for Dundee United has a probability of 36.21% and a draw has a probability of 25.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (5.91%). The likeliest Dundee United win is 1-2 (8.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.02%).

Result

Kilmarnock 37.88% (+0.04)
Draw 25.94% (-0.05)
Dundee United 36.21% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.91%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.97% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 23.03% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 53.37% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 46.63%
Over 3.5 30.62% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 69.38% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 17.06% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 82.94% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Kilmarnock 31.12% (-0.08)
Draw 42.87% (+0.10)
Dundee United 26.01% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Kilmarnock 52.15% (+0.01)
No Goal 6.42% (-0.03)
Dundee United 41.43% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 62.75% (-0.08)
Equal 8 10.67% (+0.01)
Under 8 26.58% (+0.06)
Over 9 51.44% (-0.08)
Equal 9 11.3%
Under 9 37.25% (+0.08)
Over 10.5 40.44% (-0.07)
Under 10.5 59.56% (+0.07)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 1.5 39.54%
Under 1.5 60.46%
Over 2.5 16.2% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 83.8% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 5.5% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.5% (+0.02)

Dundee United Goals

Over 0.5 71.17% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 28.83% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 38.2% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 61.8% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 15.55% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 84.45% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 5.15% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.85% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Kilmarnock 37.87%
Draw 25.94%
Dundee United 36.2%
Kilmarnock
2-1 @ 8.84%
1-0 @ 8.44%
2-0 @ 5.91% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.93% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.77% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.68%
Other @ 5.3%
Total : 37.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.02% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.42% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.98%
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.2% (-0.01)
Total : 25.94%
Dundee United
1-2 @ 8.31% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 8.18%
0-2 @ 5.68% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.65%
0-3 @ 2.82%
2-3 @ 2.61%
Other @ 4.95% (+0.03)
Total : 36.2%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
May 2, 2026 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Rugby Park
  • Robbie Deas 20' goal
  • Dominic Thompson 46' yellowcard
  • Findlay Curtis 51' goal
  • Liam Polworth 63' yellowcard
  • Joe Hugill 64' goal
  • Lewis Mayo 74' yellowcard
  • Kyle Magennis 74' yellowcard
  • Rory McKenzie 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vicko Sevelj 60'
  • yellowcard Ivan Dolcek 61'
  • yellowcard Johnny Russell 71'
  • yellowcard Craig Sibbald 71'
  • yellowcard Owen Stirton 86'
Scottish Premiership
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Tannadice Park
  • Ryan Strain 37' yellowcard
  • Amar Fatah 41' yellowcard
  • Zachary Sapsford 72' yellowcard
  • Amar Fatah 74' goal
  • yellowcard Marley Watkins 46'
  • yellowcard Jack Thomson 58'
  • yellowcard Bruce Anderson 79'
  • yellowcard Liam Polworth 79'
  • goal Marley Watkins 90'+1'
Scottish Premiership
Nov 29, 2025 5.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Bruce Anderson 34' goal
  • Robbie Deas 66' yellowcard
  • David Watson 68' yellowcard
  • Bradley Lyons 77' yellowcard
  • Bradley Lyons 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Max Watters 29'
  • goal Craig Sibbald 63'
  • yellowcard Nikolaj Moller 65'
Scottish Premiership
Nov 29, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT