Scottish Premiership Gameweek 37
May 12, 2026 7.45pm
Rugby Park

Kilmarnock vs Dundee - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
May 9, 2026 3.00pm
St Mirren 0 - 3 Kilmarnock
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Tyreece John-Jules

Dundee

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
May 9, 2026 3.00pm
Dundee 3 - 0 Livingston
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Ashley Hay

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 51.6%. A win for Dundee has a probability of 24.52% and a draw has a probability of 23.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Dundee win is 1-2 (6.42%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.04%).

Result

Kilmarnock 51.6% (-0.68)
Draw 23.87% (-0.15)
Dundee 24.52% (+0.83)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.76% (+1.47)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.46% (+1.06)
Under 1.5 22.54% (-1.07)
Over 2.5 54.5% (+1.40)
Under 2.5 45.5% (-1.40)
Over 3.5 32.46% (+1.24)
Under 3.5 67.54% (-1.23)
Over 4.5 18.78% (+0.80)
Under 4.5 81.22% (-0.80)

First Half Winner

Kilmarnock 33.47%
Draw 44.55%
Dundee 21.98%

Team To Score First

Kilmarnock 56.8% (+0.24)
No Goal 5.92% (-0.41)
Dundee 37.28% (+0.17)

Corners

Over 8 61.98%
Equal 8 11.55%
Under 8 26.47%
Over 9 49.78%
Equal 9 12.2%
Under 9 38.02%
Over 10.5 38.06%
Under 10.5 61.95%

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 1.5 50.41% (+0.31)
Under 1.5 49.59% (-0.31)
Over 2.5 24.67% (+0.33)
Under 2.5 75.33% (-0.33)
Over 3.5 9.66% (+0.20)
Under 3.5 90.34% (-0.21)

Dundee Goals

Over 0.5 61.15% (+1.36)
Under 0.5 38.85% (-1.36)
Over 1.5 28.33% (+1.37)
Under 1.5 71.67% (-1.38)
Over 2.5 9.53% (+0.68)
Under 2.5 90.47% (-0.69)
Over 3.5 2.64% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 97.36% (-0.24)

Score analysis

Kilmarnock 51.59%
Draw 23.87%
Dundee 24.52%
Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 10.19% (-0.58)
2-1 @ 9.7% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 8.4% (-0.39)
3-1 @ 5.67% (+0.08)
3-0 @ 4.81% (-0.19)
3-2 @ 3.31% (+0.15)
Other @ 9.51% (+0.19)
Total : 51.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.04% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 5.92% (-0.41)
2-2 @ 5.54% (+0.21)
3-3 @ 1.22% (+0.09)
Other @ 0.15% (+0.01)
Total : 23.87%
Dundee
1-2 @ 6.42% (+0.22)
0-1 @ 6.41% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 3.53% (+0.11)
1-3 @ 2.46% (+0.15)
2-3 @ 2.1% (+0.14)
0-3 @ 1.11% (+0.09)
Other @ 2.49% (+0.24)
Total : 24.52%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Rugby Park
  • Joe Hugill 14' goal
  • Michael Schjönning-Larsen 33' goal
  • Dominic Thompson 72' yellowcard
  • Rory McKenzie 77' yellowcard
  • Brad Joseph Lyons 86' yellowcard
  • David Watson 86' yellowcard
  • goal Simon Murray 24'
  • yellowcard Imari Samuels 46'
  • yellowcard Ashley Hay 58'
  • yellowcard Joe Westley 58'
  • yellowcard Scott Wright 58'
  • yellowcard Ashley Hay 59'
  • yellowcard Charlie Reilly 70'
  • goal Scott Wright 81'
  • yellowcard Joe Westley 90'+13'
Scottish Cup
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Rugby Park
  • Dominic Thompson 11' goal
  • Rory McKenzie 46' yellowcard
  • Scott Tiffoney 62' yellowcard
  • Bruce Anderson 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Clark Robertson 18'
  • yellowcard Charlie Reilly 67'
  • yellowcard Imari Samuels 67'
  • goal Ashley Hay 69'
  • yellowcard Simon Murray 84'
  • goal Drey Wright 90'+1'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 30, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Charlie Reilly 48' yellowcard
  • Yan Dhanda 53' yellowcard
  • Ashley Hay 57' goal
  • Charlie Reilly 72' goal
  • goal Greg Kiltie 38'
  • yellowcard Jack Thomson 53'
  • yellowcard Bradley Lyons 54'
  • yellowcard Dominic Thompson 63'
  • yellowcard 69'
  • yellowcard Ben Brannan 69'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 30, 2025 7.45pm
Scottish Premiership
Aug 23, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Aug 23, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT