Scottish League Cup Gameweek 4
Jul 21, 2026 7.45pm
Rugby Park

Kilmarnock vs Hamilton Academical - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last game
Jul 18, 2026 3.00pm
Elgin 0 - 1 Kilmarnock

Hamilton Academical

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last game
Jul 18, 2026 3.00pm
Hamilton 1 - 1 Raith Rovers

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 48.61%. A win for Hamilton Academical has a probability of 27.09% and a draw has a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win is 1-2 (6.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.85%).

Result

Kilmarnock 48.61% (+0.08)
Draw 24.3% (-0.01)
Hamilton Academical 27.09% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.5%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.95% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 21.05% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 57.39% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 42.61% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 34.33% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 65.67% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 20.68% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 79.32% (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Kilmarnock 35.87%
Draw 40.21%
Hamilton Academical 23.93%

Team To Score First

Kilmarnock 56.16% (+0.05)
No Goal 5.65%
Hamilton Academical 38.19% (-0.06)

Corners

Over 8 60.12% (-0.47)
Equal 8 11.55% (+0.04)
Under 8 28.33% (+0.44)
Over 9 48.16% (-0.45)
Equal 9 11.96% (-0.02)
Under 9 39.88% (+0.47)
Over 10.5 36.85% (-0.38)
Under 10.5 63.15% (+0.38)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 1.5 49.65% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 50.35% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 24.75% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 75.25% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 9.41% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 90.59% (-0.02)

Hamilton Academical Goals

Over 0.5 64.25% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 35.75% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 32.14% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 67.86% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 11.99% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 88.01% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.06% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.94% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Kilmarnock 48.61%
Draw 24.31%
Hamilton Academical 27.09%
Kilmarnock
2-1 @ 9.67%
1-0 @ 9.03%
2-0 @ 7.05% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.21% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.9% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.62% (+0.02)
Other @ 9.13% (+0.03)
Total : 48.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.85%
2-2 @ 5.92%
0-0 @ 5.65%
3-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 24.31%
Hamilton Academical
1-2 @ 6.96% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.38% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.65% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.53% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.26%
0-3 @ 1.53% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.78% (-0.02)
Total : 27.09%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 28
Mar 5, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Fraser Murray 44' goal
  • Blair Alston 55' goal
  • yellowcard Reegan Mimnaugh 20'
  • yellowcard Mihai Popescu 83'
  • yellowcard Scott Martin 86'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 19
Dec 26, 2021 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Ronan Hughes 3' goal
  • Mihai Popescu 37' yellowcard
  • Josh Mullin 84' goal
  • goal Callum Hendry 8'
  • goal Chris Stokes 35'
  • goal Fraser Murray 54'
  • yellowcard Callum Hendry 75'
  • redcard Zach Hemming 78'
Scottish Challenge Cup
Nov 30, 2021 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT Fountain of Youth Stadium
  • Miko Virtanen 29' yellowcard
  • Ben Stirling 32' yellowcard
  • David Moyo 68' goal
  • Andy Ryan 86' goal
  • goal Danny Armstrong 53'
  • yellowcard Steven Warnock 72'
  • yellowcard Blair Alston 78'
  • yellowcard Chris Stokes 85'
  • goal Jack Sanders 89'
  • goal Jack Sanders 90'+4'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 10
Oct 23, 2021 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Oli Shaw 5' goal
  • Blair Alston 68' yellowcard
  • Danny Armstrong 74' goal
  • goal Jamie Hamilton 8'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 3
Aug 21, 2021 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Scott McMann 62' yellowcard
  • goal Scott Robinson 60'
  • goal Scott Robinson 70'
  • yellowcard Chris Burke 82'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 5
May 16, 2021 12.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Fountain of Youth Stadium
  • Aaron Martin 72' yellowcard
  • goal Mitchell Pinnock 9'
  • yellowcard Gary Dicker 35'
  • goal Mitchell Pinnock 44'
  • yellowcard Brandon Haunstrup 47'
  • yellowcard Greg Kiltie 57'
  • yellowcard George Oakley 90'+3'