Club Friendlies 3
Jul 4, 2026 1.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Windsor Park
  • Ryan Nolan 17' goal
  • Sean Brown 75' goal
  • goal Cole Coughlin 11'
  • goal Roshaun Mathurin 14'
  • goal Greg Kiltie 77'

Linfield vs Kilmarnock - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Linfield

All competitions

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 1, 2026 1.00pm
Glentoran 0 - 4 Kilmarnock

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 48.41%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (6.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result

Linfield 48.41% (-0.07)
Draw 24.05% (-0.02)
Kilmarnock 27.55% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.19% (+0.47)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.57% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 22.43% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 54.4% (+0.34)
Under 2.5 45.6% (-0.34)
Over 3.5 31.87% (+0.41)
Under 3.5 68.13% (-0.41)
Over 4.5 18.66% (+0.31)
Under 4.5 81.34% (-0.30)

First Half Winner

Linfield 38.47% (-0.15)
Draw 39.8% (+0.16)
Kilmarnock 21.72% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Linfield 57.4% (+0.04)
No Goal 5.99% (-0.07)
Kilmarnock 36.61% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 59.83% (-0.22)
Equal 8 11.08% (-0.02)
Under 8 29.09% (+0.24)
Over 9 48.4% (-0.18)
Equal 9 11.43% (-0.06)
Under 9 40.17% (+0.22)
Over 10.5 37.56% (-0.11)
Under 10.5 62.44% (+0.11)

Linfield Goals

Over 1.5 47.75% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 52.25% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 22.64% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 77.36% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 9.24% (+0.14)
Under 3.5 90.76% (-0.13)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 62.72% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 37.28% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 30.22% (+0.29)
Under 1.5 69.78% (-0.29)
Over 2.5 11.57% (+0.21)
Under 2.5 88.43% (-0.20)
Over 3.5 3.32% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 96.68% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Linfield 48.41%
Draw 24.05%
Kilmarnock 27.55%
Linfield
1-0 @ 9.71% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 7.89% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 4.97% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.59% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.75% (+0.03)
Other @ 9.11% (+0.10)
Total : 48.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.4% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 5.99% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 5.44% (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.09% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.13% (+0.03)
Total : 24.05%
Kilmarnock
0-1 @ 6.74% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 6.58% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.88% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.8% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.39% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 1.97%
Other @ 3.19% (+0.05)
Total : 27.55%