Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 54.03%. A draw had a probability of 24.01% and a win for Cliftonville had a probability of 21.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.23%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%) , while for a Cliftonville win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.