Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 54.93%. A draw had a probability of 22.81% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 22.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%) , while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-2 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.