Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 62.31%. A draw had a probability of 21.06% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 16.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.29%) and 2-0 (10.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%) , while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.