Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 45.23%. A win for Cliftonville had a probability of 29.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Cliftonville win was 2-1 (7.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.