Scottish Premiership
May 17, 2026 2.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT Tony Macaroni Arena
  • Stevie May 19' goal
  • Aidan Denholm 56' yellowcard
  • Joel Nouble 56' yellowcard
  • Joshua Zimmerman 56' yellowcard
  • Sam Culbert 66' yellowcard
  • Babacar Fati 85' yellowcard
  • goal Joe Hugill 24'
  • goal Nicky Clescenco 34'
  • yellowcard Brad Lyons  46'
  • goal Findlay Curtis 53'
  • goal Joe Hugill 58'
  • yellowcard Ethan Schilte-Brown 62'
  • yellowcard Jack Thomson 62'
  • yellowcard David Watson 66'
  • yellowcard Euan Bowie 84'

Livingston vs Kilmarnock - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Livingston

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
May 12, 2026 7.45pm
Dundee Utd 0 - 0 Livingston
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Lewis Smith

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
May 12, 2026 7.45pm
Kilmarnock 3 - 1 Dundee
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Tyreece John-Jules

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (9.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%).

Result

Livingston 41.08% (+1.70)
Draw 27.27% (+0.06)
Kilmarnock 31.65% (-1.72)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.31% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.61% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 28.39% (-0.25)
Over 2.5 47.9% (+1.05)
Under 2.5 52.1% (-1.05)
Over 3.5 26.92% (+0.82)
Under 3.5 73.08% (-0.82)
Over 4.5 15.03% (+0.67)
Under 4.5 84.97% (-0.68)

First Half Winner

Livingston 32.06% (+0.30)
Draw 42.66% (-0.06)
Kilmarnock 25.28% (-0.24)

Team To Score First

Livingston 52.01% (+1.08)
No Goal 8.8% (-0.01)
Kilmarnock 39.19% (-1.07)

Corners

Over 8 65.17% (-1.65)
Equal 8 10.22% (-0.39)
Under 8 24.61% (+2.04)
Over 9 54.14% (-1.02)
Equal 9 11.03% (-0.65)
Under 9 34.83% (+1.65)
Over 10.5 43.18% (-0.29)
Under 10.5 56.82% (+0.29)

Livingston Goals

Over 1.5 39.44% (+1.91)
Under 1.5 60.56% (-1.91)
Over 2.5 17.11% (+1.55)
Under 2.5 82.89% (-1.55)
Over 3.5 6.2% (+0.76)
Under 3.5 93.8% (-0.77)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 64.9% (-1.12)
Under 0.5 35.1% (+1.13)
Over 1.5 31.7% (-0.67)
Under 1.5 68.3% (+0.66)
Over 2.5 11.67% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 88.33% (+0.24)
Over 3.5 3.24% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.76% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Livingston 41.09%
Draw 27.28%
Kilmarnock 31.65%
Livingston
1-0 @ 10.46% (+0.16)
2-1 @ 8.41% (+0.22)
2-0 @ 6.65% (+0.19)
3-1 @ 3.81% (+0.11)
3-0 @ 3.34% (+0.36)
3-2 @ 2.55% (+0.19)
Other @ 5.87% (+0.50)
Total : 41.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.83% (-0.45)
0-0 @ 8.8% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.11% (+0.15)
3-3 @ 1.21% (+0.13)
Other @ 0.33% (+0.26)
Total : 27.28%
Kilmarnock
0-1 @ 9.15% (-0.34)
1-2 @ 7.15% (-0.20)
0-2 @ 5.22% (-0.55)
1-3 @ 2.99% (-0.08)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.17)
0-3 @ 2.07% (-0.15)
Other @ 2.91% (-0.24)
Total : 31.65%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Rugby Park
  • Joe Hugill 25' goal
  • Brad Joseph Lyons 56' yellowcard
  • David Watson 56' yellowcard
  • Tom Lowery 67' yellowcard
  • Dominic Thompson 67' yellowcard
  • Findlay Curtis 77' goal
  • Rory McKenzie 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lewis Smith 63'
  • yellowcard B. McKay 63'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Danso 72'
  • yellowcard Jeremy Bokila 72'
  • yellowcard Scott Arfield 73'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 22
Jan 10, 2026 3.00pm
Tony Macaroni Arena
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 1
Aug 2, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Aug 2, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish League Cup
Jul 16, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 25
Feb 7, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Rugby Park
  • Marley Watkins 88' goal
  • yellowcard Mo Sangare 85'
  • yellowcard Shamal George 90'+1'