Scottish Premiership
Livingston
May 17, 2026 2.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT Tony Macaroni Arena
Kilmarnock
  • Stevie May 19' goal
  • Aidan Denholm 56' yellowcard
  • Joel Nouble 56' yellowcard
  • Joshua Zimmerman 56' yellowcard
  • Sam Culbert 66' yellowcard
  • Babacar Fati 85' yellowcard
  • goal Joe Hugill 24'
  • goal Nicky Clescenco 34'
  • yellowcard Brad Lyons  46'
  • goal Findlay Curtis 53'
  • goal Joe Hugill 58'
  • yellowcard Ethan Schilte-Brown 62'
  • yellowcard Jack Thomson 62'
  • yellowcard David Watson 66'
  • yellowcard Euan Bowie 84'

Livingston vs Kilmarnock - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Livingston

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
May 12, 2026 7.45pm
Dundee Utd 0 - 0 Livingston
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Lewis Smith

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
May 12, 2026 7.45pm
Kilmarnock 3 - 1 Dundee
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Tyreece John-Jules

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (9.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%).

Result

Livingston 41.08% ▲ (+1.70)
Draw 27.27% ▲ (+0.06)
Kilmarnock 31.65% ▼ (-1.72)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.31% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.61% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 1.5 28.39% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 2.5 47.9% ▲ (+1.05)
Under 2.5 52.1% ▼ (-1.05)
Over 3.5 26.92% ▲ (+0.82)
Under 3.5 73.08% ▼ (-0.82)
Over 4.5 15.03% ▲ (+0.67)
Under 4.5 84.97% ▼ (-0.68)

First Half Winner

Livingston 32.06% ▲ (+0.30)
Draw 42.66% ▼ (-0.06)
Kilmarnock 25.28% ▼ (-0.24)

Team To Score First

Livingston 52.01% ▲ (+1.08)
No Goal 8.8% ▼ (-0.01)
Kilmarnock 39.19% ▼ (-1.07)

Corners

Over 8 65.17% ▼ (-1.65)
Equal 8 10.22% ▼ (-0.39)
Under 8 24.61% ▲ (+2.04)
Over 9 54.14% ▼ (-1.02)
Equal 9 11.03% ▼ (-0.65)
Under 9 34.83% ▲ (+1.65)
Over 10.5 43.18% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 10.5 56.82% ▲ (+0.29)

Livingston Goals

Over 1.5 39.44% ▲ (+1.91)
Under 1.5 60.56% ▼ (-1.91)
Over 2.5 17.11% ▲ (+1.55)
Under 2.5 82.89% ▼ (-1.55)
Over 3.5 6.2% ▲ (+0.76)
Under 3.5 93.8% ▼ (-0.77)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 64.9% ▼ (-1.12)
Under 0.5 35.1% ▲ (+1.13)
Over 1.5 31.7% ▼ (-0.67)
Under 1.5 68.3% ▲ (+0.66)
Over 2.5 11.67% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 2.5 88.33% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 3.5 3.24% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.76% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Livingston 41.09%
Draw 27.28%
Kilmarnock 31.65%
Livingston
1-0 @ 10.46% ▲ (+0.16)
2-1 @ 8.41% ▲ (+0.22)
2-0 @ 6.65% ▲ (+0.19)
3-1 @ 3.81% ▲ (+0.11)
3-0 @ 3.34% ▲ (+0.36)
3-2 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.19)
Other @ 5.87% ▲ (+0.50)
Total : 41.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.83% ▼ (-0.45)
0-0 @ 8.8% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.15)
3-3 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 0.33% ▲ (+0.26)
Total : 27.28%
Kilmarnock
0-1 @ 9.15% ▼ (-0.34)
1-2 @ 7.15% ▼ (-0.20)
0-2 @ 5.22% ▼ (-0.55)
1-3 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.08)
2-3 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.17)
0-3 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.24)
Total : 31.65%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 31
Kilmarnock
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Rugby Park
Livingston
  • Joe Hugill 25' goal
  • Brad Joseph Lyons 56' yellowcard
  • David Watson 56' yellowcard
  • Tom Lowery 67' yellowcard
  • Dominic Thompson 67' yellowcard
  • Findlay Curtis 77' goal
  • Rory McKenzie 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cristian Montano 62'
  • yellowcard Lewis Smith 63'
  • yellowcard B. McKay 63'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Danso 72'
  • yellowcard Jeremy Bokila 72'
  • yellowcard Scott Arfield 73'
  • redcard Brooklyn Kabongolo 84'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 22
Livingston
Jan 10, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Tony Macaroni Arena
Kilmarnock
  • Brooklyn Kabongolo 2' yellowcard
  • 2' yellowcard
  • Mahamadou Susoho 29' yellowcard
  • Macaulay Tait 33' yellowcard
  • Connor McLennan 45'+1' goal
  • David Martindale 49' yellowcard
  • Ryan McGowan 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dominic Thompson 52'
  • goal Marcus Dackers 70'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 1
Kilmarnock
Aug 2, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Rugby Park
Livingston
  • Djenairo Daniels  38' goal
  • David Watson 42' goal
  • George Stanger 65' redcard
  • Brad Lyons  73' yellowcard
  • Bruce Anderson 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adam Montgomery 49'
  • goal Robbie Muirhead 66'
  • goal Scott Pittman 86'
  • yellowcard Danny Finlayson 89'
Scottish Premiership
Kilmarnock
Aug 2, 2025 3.00pm
Livingston
Scottish League Cup
Kilmarnock
Jul 16, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Livingston
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 25
Kilmarnock
Feb 7, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Rugby Park
Livingston
  • Marley Watkins 88' goal
  • yellowcard Mo Sangare 85'
  • yellowcard Shamal George 90'+1'

Form Data

Dundee Utd 0 - 0 Livingston
Dundee 3 - 0 Livingston
Livingston 2 - 2 Aberdeen
St Mirren 0 - 2 Livingston
Dundee Utd 3 - 2 Livingston
Livingston 2 - 2 Hearts
Kilmarnock 3 - 1 Dundee
St Mirren 0 - 3 Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock 3 - 0 Dundee Utd
Aberdeen 1 - 0 Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock 2 - 2 Dundee
Hibernian 3 - 0 Kilmarnock