Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 41.97%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (8.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.