Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 67.61%. A draw had a probability of 17.68% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 14.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.06%) , while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.