NIFL Premiership
May 6, 2026 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stangmore Park
  • Peter Maguire 10' yellowcard
  • Leonel Alves 21' goal
  • Caolan Marron 49' goal
  • Kealan Dillon 72' goal
  • Shea Gordon 78' yellowcard
  • Kobei Moore 78' yellowcard
  • Sam Anderson 84' yellowcard
  • James Knowles 84' yellowcard
  • James Knowles 84'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lorcan Donnelly 34'
  • goal Luke McCullough 38'
  • yellowcard Matthew Olosunde 58'
  • yellowcard Kyle Cherry 78'

Dungannon Swifts vs Carrick Rangers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dungannon Swifts

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 5.30pm
Larne 8 - 0 Dungannon
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Sean McAllister

Carrick Rangers

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm
Glenavon 2 - 3 Carrick
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Danny Purkis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 36.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-2 (8.78%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result

Dungannon Swifts 38.33%
Draw 24.64%
Carrick Rangers 36.98%

Both Teams to Score: 

58.25%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.41%
Under 1.5 21.59%
Over 2.5 55.9%
Under 2.5 44.1%
Over 3.5 32.01%
Under 3.5 67.99%
Over 4.5 18.01%
Under 4.5 81.99%

First Half Winner

Dungannon Swifts 30.48%
Draw 38.4%
Carrick Rangers 31.12%

Team To Score First

Dungannon Swifts 46.67%
No Goal 5.46%
Carrick Rangers 47.87%

Corners

Over 8 55.24%
Equal 8 11.36%
Under 8 33.4%
Over 9 43.9%
Equal 9 11.35%
Under 9 44.76%
Over 10.5 33.45%
Under 10.5 66.55%

Dungannon Swifts Goals

Over 1.5 40.33%
Under 1.5 59.67%
Over 2.5 17.2%
Under 2.5 82.8%
Over 3.5 5.93%
Under 3.5 94.07%

Carrick Rangers Goals

Over 0.5 71.43%
Under 0.5 28.57%
Over 1.5 39.52%
Under 1.5 60.48%
Over 2.5 16.8%
Under 2.5 83.2%
Over 3.5 5.55%
Under 3.5 94.45%

Score analysis

Dungannon Swifts 38.33%
Draw 24.65%
Carrick Rangers 36.98%
Dungannon Swifts
2-1 @ 8.65%
1-0 @ 8.37%
2-0 @ 5.69%
3-1 @ 3.99%
3-0 @ 3.28%
3-2 @ 2.62%
Other @ 5.73%
Total : 38.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.55%
2-2 @ 6.06%
0-0 @ 5.46%
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.65%
Carrick Rangers
1-2 @ 8.78%
0-1 @ 7.72%
0-2 @ 5.26%
1-3 @ 3.96%
0-3 @ 3.18%
2-3 @ 2.73%
Other @ 5.35%
Total : 36.98%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
5
1
HT : 3 0
FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
  • Joe Crowe 9' goal
  • Paul Heatley 14' goal
  • Adam Lecky 25' goal
  • Adam Lecky 65' goal
  • Adam Lecky 83' goal
  • goal Eoghán Liggett 80'
NIFL Premiership
Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Daniel Gibson 38' goal
  • Ben Buchanan-Rolleston 54' yellowcard
  • Paul Heatley 76' goal
  • Aidan Steele 79' goal
  • goal Cahal McGinty 3'
  • yellowcard Kealan Dillon 30'
  • yellowcard Danny Wallace 44'
  • goal Sean McAllister 58'
  • goal Sean McAllister 90'+2'
NIFL Premiership
Aug 23, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 29
Feb 15, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT Stangmore Park
  • Andrew Mitchell 9' goal
  • Leonel Alves 22' goal
  • Adam Glenny 28' goal
  • goal Paul Heatley 58'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 18
Nov 23, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
  • Emmett McGuckin 29' yellowcard
  • Kyle Cherry 55' yellowcard
  • yellowcard James Knowles 31'
  • yellowcard Steven Scott 39'
  • goal James Knowles 76'
  • yellowcard Cahal McGinty 90'+2'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 10
Sep 28, 2024 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stangmore Park
  • John McGovern 33' goal
  • Kealan Dillon 38' goal
  • Andrew Mitchell 70' goal
  • Leon Boyd 90' goal
  • yellowcard Kurtis Forsythe 16'
  • redcard Joe Crowe 39'