NIFL Premiership Gameweek 3
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena

Carrick Rangers vs Ballymena United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carrick Rangers

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Apr 7, 2026 7.45pm
Portadown 1 - 1 Carrick
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Paul Heatley

Ballymena United

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Apr 7, 2026 7.45pm
Ballymena 1 - 1 Glenavon
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Igor Rutkowski

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 56.18%. A draw has a probability of 22.99% and a win for Ballymena United has a probability of 20.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.15%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.85%) , while for a Ballymena United win it is 1-2 (5.54%).

Result

Carrick Rangers 56.18%
Draw 22.99%
Ballymena United 20.83%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.08%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.34% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 21.66% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 55.51%
Under 2.5 44.49%
Over 3.5 32.9% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 67.1% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 19.88% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 80.12% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Carrick Rangers 41.33%
Draw 39.23%
Ballymena United 19.44%

Team To Score First

Carrick Rangers 62.87%
No Goal 5.63%
Ballymena United 31.5%

Corners

Over 8 60.98% (+0.01)
Equal 8 11.39% (+0.01)
Under 8 27.63% (-0.02)
Over 9 49.06%
Equal 9 11.92%
Under 9 39.02% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 37.66%
Under 10.5 62.34%

Carrick Rangers Goals

Over 1.5 54.05% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 45.95% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 27.58% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 72.42% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 11.34% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 88.66% (-0.02)

Ballymena United Goals

Over 0.5 57.62% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 42.38% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 25.21% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 74.79% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 8.27% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 91.73% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 2.26%
Under 3.5 97.74%

Score analysis

Carrick Rangers 56.19%
Draw 22.99%
Ballymena United 20.85%
Carrick Rangers
1-0 @ 10.54%
2-1 @ 10.15%
2-0 @ 9.18% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.89% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.84% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.37%
Other @ 11.22% (+0.01)
Total : 56.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.85%
0-0 @ 5.63%
2-2 @ 5.25%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.99%
Ballymena United
1-2 @ 5.54%
0-1 @ 5.52%
0-2 @ 2.78%
1-3 @ 1.89%
2-3 @ 1.89% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 20.85%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Gameweek 32
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Showgrounds
  • James Hood 58' yellowcard
  • Calvin McCurry 58' yellowcard
  • Igor Rutkowski 65' goal
  • Igor Rutkowski 69' goal
  • Donal Rocks 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Waide 61'
  • yellowcard Matthew Olosunde 70'
  • goal Danny Purkis 77'
NIFL Premiership
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Daire O'Connor 65' goal
  • Danny Lafferty 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Aidan Steele 40'
  • yellowcard Billy Joe Burns 71'
NIFL Premiership
Oct 4, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 3
Apr 12, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Showgrounds
  • Caolan Loughran 52' yellowcard
  • Kian Corbally 56' yellowcard
  • Aaron Jarvis 75' goal
  • Aaron Jarvis 75' goal
  • Ben Kennedy 81' yellowcard
  • Ben Kennedy 81' yellowcard
  • goal David Cushley 90'+7'
  • goal David Cushley 90'+7'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 26
Jan 18, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
  • Ben Buchanan-Rolleston 30' yellowcard
  • Ethan Boyle 35' yellowcard
  • Emmett McGuckin 45' yellowcard
  • Kyle Cherry 68' yellowcard
  • 89' yellowcard
  • 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard 27'
  • yellowcard 32'
  • yellowcard 90'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 19
Nov 30, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT The Showgrounds
  • Josh Carson 8' yellowcard
  • Andrew Scott 22' yellowcard
  • Daithi McCallion 65' goal
  • yellowcard Kurtis Forsythe 22'
  • yellowcard Kyle Cherry 23'
  • yellowcard Seanan Clucas 25'
  • goal Dan Purkis 49'
  • goal Nedas Macuilaitis 71'
  • redcard Ross Glendinning 79'
  • yellowcard Paul Heatley 80'