Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 56.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.99% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 20.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.15%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%) , while for a Ballymena United win it was 1-2 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.