Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 59.62%. A draw had a probability of 21.65% and a win for Crusaders had a probability of 18.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.98%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%) , while for a Crusaders win it was 1-2 (5.19%).