NIFL Premiership Gameweek 1
Mar 28, 2026 3.00pm
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena

Carrick Rangers vs Crusaders - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carrick Rangers

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Mar 20, 2026 7.45pm
Carrick 2 - 0 Linfield
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Paul Heatley

Crusaders

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Portadown 0 - 0 Crusaders
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Fraser Bryden

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 59.62%. A draw has a probability of 21.65% and a win for Crusaders has a probability of 18.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.98%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.93%) , while for a Crusaders win it is 1-2 (5.19%).

Result

Carrick Rangers 59.62%
Draw 21.65%
Crusaders 18.79%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.64%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.81%
Under 1.5 20.19%
Over 2.5 58.12%
Under 2.5 41.88%
Over 3.5 35.3%
Under 3.5 64.7%
Over 4.5 22.45%
Under 4.5 77.55%

First Half Winner

Carrick Rangers 40.78%
Draw 38.11%
Crusaders 21.12%

Team To Score First

Carrick Rangers 60.6%
No Goal 5.44%
Crusaders 33.96%

Corners

Over 8 60.11%
Equal 8 11.21%
Under 8 28.68%
Over 9 48.47%
Equal 9 11.64%
Under 9 39.89%
Over 10.5 37.39%
Under 10.5 62.61%

Carrick Rangers Goals

Over 1.5 57.51%
Under 1.5 42.49%
Over 2.5 31.43%
Under 2.5 68.57%
Over 3.5 14.28%
Under 3.5 85.72%

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5 54.68%
Under 0.5 45.32%
Over 1.5 23.7%
Under 1.5 76.3%
Over 2.5 7.57%
Under 2.5 92.43%
Over 3.5 2.16%
Under 3.5 97.84%

Score analysis

Carrick Rangers 59.61%
Draw 21.64%
Crusaders 18.78%
Carrick Rangers
2-1 @ 10.1%
1-0 @ 9.98%
2-0 @ 9.33%
3-0 @ 6.46%
3-1 @ 6.15%
3-2 @ 3.45%
Other @ 14.14%
Total : 59.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.93%
0-0 @ 5.44%
2-2 @ 5.04%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.64%
Crusaders
1-2 @ 5.19%
0-1 @ 4.8%
0-2 @ 2.45%
1-3 @ 1.65%
2-3 @ 1.61%
0-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 18.78%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership
Dec 30, 2025 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • 18' yellowcard
  • 19' yellowcard
  • Fraser Bryden 25' goal
  • 30' yellowcard
  • 35' yellowcard
  • Kurtis Forsythe 48' goal
  • 90' yellowcard
  • 90'+1' yellowcard
  • 90'+3' redcard
  • Evan Easton 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Jack Scott 31'
  • goal Billy Joe Burns 36'
  • yellowcard 59'
  • yellowcard Matthew Snoddy 59'
  • yellowcard 66'
NIFL Premiership
Nov 8, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
NIFL Premiership
Aug 9, 2025 3.00pm
3
4
HT : 0 0
FT
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 24
Dec 30, 2024 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
  • Seanan Clucas 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jordan Owens 77'
  • yellowcard Philip Lowry 89'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 17
Nov 16, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
  • Emmett McGuckin 11' goal
  • Paul Heatley 14' goal
  • Paul Heatley 27' yellowcard
  • Paul Heatley 60' goal
  • Nedas Macuilaitis 65' yellowcard
  • Joe Crowe 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard David Cushley 34'
  • yellowcard Jacob Blaney 45'
  • yellowcard Robbie Weir 62'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Seaview
  • Ben Buchanan-Rolleston 26' yellowcard
  • Reece Glendinning 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Daniel Larmour 64' goal
  • Kieran Offord 65' goal
  • Harry Jewitt-White 81' yellowcard
  • goal Curtis Allen 7'
  • yellowcard Cameron Stewart 49'
  • yellowcard Paul Heatley 77'
  • yellowcard Cameron Stewart 78'
  • yellowcard Paul Heatley 90'+6'